It’s October, fall is in the air, and we have NFL football. Love this time of year. Just to recap, we are entered into four sports betting contests.

- Westgate Super Contest

- Circa Millions

- Circa Survivor

- Wa Snoqualmie Casino’s Beat the Point Spread Pigskin Pick ‘Em.

And I have to say, we did pretty well and went 4 and 1 ATS and survived another week in survivor. In fact, we are in first place at the Snoqualmie casino.

Leans for week 5:

Green Bay:

I know it's Monday prime time, and they are traveling to Vegas, but I still feel there is some good value on the Packers. After getting beat by Detroit, it is a good bounce-back win for GB. Perhaps I have GB ranked too high at 14 or LV ranked too low at 27. But I found a good 4 points of value for GB. I know GB's offense is a little beat up, but they are still really good with their yards per point total offensively.

ATL:

After playing pretty flat and losing to the Jaguars in London, this could be a good bounce-back for the Falcons. They are at home, and while QB Desmond Ridder’s skills could improve, ATL still has some great talent. Houston has played pretty well as of late, and the newbie QB CJ Stroud is looking impressive. But all new QBs make mistakes, so I feel the CJ will throw some interceptions this game. Plus, I found a good 2 points of value for ATL that they could win by 3.

NO:

Alvin Kamara came off suspension last week, and I feel like this is his week to shine. And dreamy eyes, Derek Carr, is going to throw some bullets. I feel like NE is kind of riding on the coattails of Bill Belichick’s reputation. So getting the Staints at a +1 is a gift.

Detroit:

If Bryce Young is going to play, I’m taking the Lions. The Lions played great against GB last Thursday in week 4. And this week, Detroit is at home. I know 9 points is a lot to lay. But if it stays at 9, I am really leaning toward Detroit ATS and also for Survivor this week.

Jacksonville:

We took Jacksonville in London last week, and they totally covered. They always seem to play well in London, and they have stayed the entire week there, so there wasn’t any travel. The Bill did look amazing against Miami in week 4. So I don’t expect the Jaguars to win, but they certainly could cover.

So those are the teams that I am seeing some value for week 5. Most likely going to take Detroid for Survivor. However, Miami looks really good as a win too. I know many people are contemplating Washington, but it's Thursday night, prime time. And as we all know, in the NFL, anything can happen, especially Thursday nights!