In this episode, we explore how climate change is impacting cherry production in New South Wales, with a focus on the Lapin cherry variety. Drawing on the Climate Vulnerability Assessment (CVA) conducted by the NSW Department of Primary Industries, we discuss projected changes in climate suitability, key vulnerabilities such as chill accumulation and fruit firmness, and the adaptation strategies that could help growers stay resilient. 

We also unpack the modelling approach used in the CVA, including how different emissions scenarios were applied to assess future risks and opportunities for cherry growers across NSW. 

Key Topics Covered: 

• Overview of the Climate Vulnerability Assessment  
• Overview of the Lapin cherry findings 
• Climate risks: chill portions, heat stress, and water needs 
• Climate opportunities: reductions in frost  

• What the future holds for cherry production in NSW 

Lapin Cherry CVA Webpage 

Lapin Cherry CVA Factsheet (PDF) 

CVA Publications & Reports 

Contact the CVA Team:

 vulnerability.assessment@dpird.nsw.gov.au  
The CVA is part of a broader effort to help primary industries in NSW prepare for and adapt to climate change.

The Lapin cherry model is just one example of how data-driven insights can support decision-making and long-term planning in horticulture in NSW. 

We acknowledge the Traditional Owners of Country throughout Australia and recognise the continuing connection to lands, waters, and communities. We pay our respect to Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander cultures; and to Elders past and present. 

This project is brought to you by the extension and communication for the Australian cherry industry project. Led by NSW Department of Primary Industries and Regional Development, funded by Hort Innovation using the cherry research and development levy and funds from the Australian Government.