7/17/25 - Hot next week; Wet conditions continue
Description
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Weather History
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On July 17, 1972, slow-moving morning thunderstorms dropped 5.5 inches of rain at Sioux City, setting the all-time daily rainfall record there (still standing). Other highlights: 4.63 inches at Sac City, 3.45 inches at Humboldt.
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Short-Term Weather Outlook
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Cool air has returned after a recent frontal passage, but temperatures are forecast to increase again heading into next week.
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There are chances for showers and thunderstorms through the weekend.
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A “Ring of Fire” storm pattern will set up as a heat dome builds south over Missouri, leading to more storms along its northern edge (ridge riders/squall lines), likely north of Iowa, affecting the Upper Midwest (ND, SD, MN, WI).
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Medium-Range Weather Setup
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The bullseye of the heat dome appears over Missouri July 22–26; during this time, Iowa will see a precipitation gradient, with most rain favored in northeast Iowa.
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Precipitation forecast is variable, and storm placement will become clearer closer to each event.
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Southeast Iowa (and previously drier northern counties) have recently received significant rainfall, shifting them from "have-nots" to "haves." Ottumwa remains in moderate drought ("D1") as a stubborn dry spot.
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Climate Outlook
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6–10 and 8–14 day forecasts show high probabilities for above-normal warmth (especially south), then continued wetness through late July.
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The 3–4 week outlook through August 8 gives no clear signal on temperatures, with a slight lean toward dryness in southwestern Iowa.
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Initial August outlooks show “equal chances” for temperature and precipitation over southern and central Iowa, a result of persistent widespread soil moisture which helps moderate heat.
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Atmospheric Impacts
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Recent wetness tamps down temperature extremes due to moist soils and increased cloud cover.
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The area’s high dew points indicate low atmospheric demand, reducing drought risk but potentially increasing plant disease issues.
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Past Week's Weather
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Severe weather last Friday produced two weak tornadoes in southern and eastern Iowa, with no widespread damage.
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Wildfire smoke from Canada arrived over the weekend after a strong cold front and wind shift to northwesterly flow.
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Wet conditions continued across much of the state.
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Specialty Crop Impacts
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Foliar Disease Risk
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Prolonged wet conditions are increasing foliar disease risks in specialty crops. Preventive fungicide programs are recommended for conventional growers, especially on brassicas (cabbage, broccoli, cauliflower).
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Summary of biopesticide efficacy for brassica diseases (per Meg McGrath, Cornell University):
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For black rot: Oxidate worked in 1 of 1 trial, Regalia in 1 of 2, copper in 4 of 5, Double Nickel in 1 of 1.
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For alternaria: copper is most effective.
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Over-use of copper risks resistance and soil accumulation; organic certification requires soil copper testing before use.
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For basil downy mildew: Only resistant varieties (notably the Prospera series) provide reliable control—fungicides are not effective.
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For powdery mildew on pumpkins and squash: Use potassium bicarbonate products like Kaligreen or Milstop (these are safer than baking soda due to plant salt sensitivity).
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Disease and Cost Monitoring
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Meg McGrath's cost-per-acre chart helps growers compare costs of biopesticides and fungicides
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Beet and Swiss Chard Disease
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Cercospora leaf spot is appearing on beet and Swiss chard leaves, making chard unmarketable. Resistant varieties like Char Bell are advised for chard.
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Japanese Beetle Management
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Listener asked about Milky Spore for Japanese beetle grub control. Dan cautions little evidence supports its effectiveness and prefers pest exclusion over soil treatments, since beetles migrate from other areas.
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Pheromone traps may attract more beetles than they catch—sometimes best given to neighbors to ward beetles away from your crops.
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Colorado Potato Beetle Resistance
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The second generation of Colorado potato beetle larvae has emerged. Rotate insecticide chemistries to avoid resistance (e.g., use Azera in the second generation if spinosad was used in the first).
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Non-chemical methods, like knocking beetles into a soapy water bucket, remain effective—plants tolerate up to ~33% defoliation before yield loss.
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Announcements and Events
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The Fruit and Vegetable Field Day at Iowa State University’s Horticulture Research Station will be held August 5th, 2:00 –5:30 PM (free, with supper and registration link provided).
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The Plant Peddler "Educate the Educators" Day is July 31st in Cresco, with a feast and entertainment; the next day is Variety Day showcasing mature bedding plants (trade show only, not for sale).
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Practical Farmers of Iowa opened applications for the horticulture program coordinator position.
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