Before the Bell: Stocks Slammed 3.5%, NVDA Dumps 7.6%, and What Comes Next for SPX, VIX, Oil, Bitcoin, and Walmart
Description
Good morning, traders and investors — what a brutal sell-off we had yesterday. Stocks tanked hard, volatility exploded, and even NVIDIA’s strong earnings couldn’t hold tech up. Today’s session is shaping up to be a potential turnaround — but signs of risk remain everywhere.
Let’s break down the four reasons for the sell-off, the levels that matter, and where the best opportunities might be today.
🚨 The 4 Major Reasons for Yesterday’s Market Sell-Off
Yesterday’s move wasn’t random. According to the transcript, four forces drove the SPX and NASDAQ lower:
1️⃣ Tech Bubble Concerns (AI Mania Still a Threat)
* Fear & Greed Index at 7 = Extreme Fear
* AI bubble reports from Reuters & The Guardian
* High valuations + concentrated tech exposure made the market fragile
2️⃣ Mixed & Ambiguous Labor Market Data
Unclear jobs data → confusion for Fed → uncertainty → sell-off.
3️⃣ Volatility Spike (VIX +47%)
VIX exploded from its lows to highs — a huge 47% jump.This kind of move is typical in short-term panic periods.
4️⃣ Profit Taking at All-Time Highs
* NVDA (NVDA) hit all-time highs
* AMD (AMD) also at highs
* Investors used the rally to lock in profits
All four forces combined created a perfect storm.
📉 Major Indices Breakdown (SPX, NASDAQ, RUSSELL, DOW)
S&P 500 (SPX)
Sell-off from peak: –3.5%Futures bouncing early but unstable.
Key levels:
* Above 23% Fibonacci retracement
* 200-day MA = 6,280 (possible target)
NASDAQ (QQQ / NDX)
Peak-to-trough: –4.6%
RUSSELL 2000 (IWM)
Peak-to-trough: –4.15%
Peak-to-trough: –2.4%
NASDAQ futures briefly green → turned red → the sell-off may not be over.
⚡ VIX Spike: Is the Panic Ending?
The VIX ripped +47% yesterday — a massive move.
But today, it’s cooling off.
This implies a potential relief rally in the next 1–3 sessions.
🛢️ Oil (USO)
Oil is in a clear downtrend — yesterday’s action wasn’t even a real “sell-off.”
Key buy zone:
* Below $55 → “That’s a buy.”
🪙 Gold (GLD) & Silver (SLV)
Both are between the 20-day and 50-day moving averages — which you classify as a strong buy zone.
* Gold holding 20-day MA
* Silver between moving averages
* Copper strong but slowing
₿ Bitcoin (BTC / IBIT) & Ethereum (ETH / ETHE)
Bitcoin
Yesterday’s sell-off brought BTC into the first resistance level.If it holds → “perfect buying opportunity.”If not → a deeper zone lower is ideal.
Ethereum
Tracking Bitcoin closely.Still under the Ichimoku cloud — not yet bullish.Best strategy:Wait for a red day → buy LEAP → sell premium against it.
🔥 Stock Market Signals: Walmart & Berkshire Hathaway
Walmart (WMT)
Walmart held up amazingly during the market crash.
Best buying zone:
* Around $100, near 100-day MA
* Ex-dividend December 12 (Friday expiration)
Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B)
* Historically resilient
* Classic “consolidate → break ATH → consolidate → break ATH” pattern
* Better than bonds
You’re waiting for a pullback to buy again.
🎄 Santa Rally Incoming?
Your base case:
* The sell-off is temporary
* Rate cuts are coming
* Even if cuts don’t happen → already priced in
* Expect a Santa Claus rally
transcript_2025-11-21T10_57_42.…
Backup scenario:
* If not December → a rally in late January.
📌 Mentioned Stocks & Tickers
CompanyTickerNVIDIANVDAAMDAMDEli LillyLLYWalmartWMTBerkshire HathawayBRK.BSPXSPYNASDAQQQQRussell 2000IWMDow JonesDIAGLDGLDSLVSLVUS Oil FundUSOBitcoin ETFIBITEthereum ETFETHE
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