DiscoverMonetary Matters with Jack FarleyBreaking Down Michael Burry’s Big Nvidia Short Thesis and Open AI’s Massive Loss Projections | Jack & Max
Breaking Down Michael Burry’s Big Nvidia Short Thesis and Open AI’s Massive Loss Projections | Jack & Max

Breaking Down Michael Burry’s Big Nvidia Short Thesis and Open AI’s Massive Loss Projections | Jack & Max

Update: 2025-11-28
Share

Description

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal AI. Save 30% off any paid tier at for Black Friday: http://fiscal.ai/mm




Jack Farley & Max Wiethe breakdown Michael Burry’s big Nvidia short thesis and the recent projections from HSBC that Open AI will lose nearly half a trillion dollars between now and 2030. They also discuss the recent repricing of Fed rate cuts in December and debate which companies are the biggest losers if AI turns out to be a bubble.




Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96


Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe




Follow Monetary Matters on:


Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh


Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5


YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez




Timestamps:


00:00 Intro


00:16 The Biggest Event in Macro


00:55 Breaking Down Michael Burry's Short Thesis for Nvidia


04:47 Semiconductors Are Historically Cyclical


07:08 Is Nvidia a Good Short?


08:25 Criticism of Burry's Analysis


16:38 Fiscal.ai


18:17 Open AI's Massive Loss Projections


24:26 AI Coding Agent Revenues


26:25 Can Nvidia Escape Unscathed?


29:54 Michael Burry's Substack Success


30:54 AI Spending's Impact on GDP


31:56 December Fed Meeting

Comments 
In Channel
loading
00:00
00:00
x

0.5x

0.8x

1.0x

1.25x

1.5x

2.0x

3.0x

Sleep Timer

Off

End of Episode

5 Minutes

10 Minutes

15 Minutes

30 Minutes

45 Minutes

60 Minutes

120 Minutes

Breaking Down Michael Burry’s Big Nvidia Short Thesis and Open AI’s Massive Loss Projections | Jack & Max

Breaking Down Michael Burry’s Big Nvidia Short Thesis and Open AI’s Massive Loss Projections | Jack & Max

Jack Farley