Cluck and Decline πππ
Description
Poultry leads the move lower as chicken prices ease, but across the board, the markets are full of mixed signals. Beef stays strong, dairy keeps sliding, and pork and grains add their own twists.
BEEF: Demand is cooling a touch with grinds, briskets, and flanks easing back, but ribeyes and tenderloins are still charging higher. Supplies remain too tight for a true correction, so any relief looks more like a pause than a pullback. Heading into the holidays, the pain point for consumers hasnβt hit yet β and we may not be close.
POULTRY: Avian flu is back in the headlines β six new cases this week, hitting nearly 300K turkeys, stirred up by cooler weather and migration. On the chicken side, itβs all good news: supply is finally ahead of demand, bringing prices down across the board. The question is, how long will the balance last?
GRAINS: Markets are holding steady with corn at $4.17, soy flat, and wheat unchanged. All eyes are on the USDA report out Friday β if crop yield estimates are trimmed, we could finally see a push higher. Until then, itβs calm in the grain bin.
PORK: Bellies finally slipped, closing at $172 β down $10 from last week β and should keep easing over the next few weeks. But with cold storage stocks very low, donβt expect a major falloff. Meanwhile, butts and ribs are ticking higher, loins are steady, and pork still delivers solid value on the plate.
DAIRY: Itβs week four of declines at the CME β barrel down 8, block off 7, and butter slipping another 3. The slide keeps rolling, and while itβs unclear how long it will last, for now weβll take the ride.Β
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