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Decision Making (EP.02)

Decision Making (EP.02)

Update: 2021-03-12
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Description

Philip Tetlock’s research on the qualities of Super-forecasters explains why forecasting is hard and how diverse models and systematic thinking can help close the gap.

We discuss:

  • Improving predictions by regularly updating data
  • The Brier Score and why it really matters
  • Why larger samples permit more accurate short term predictions
  • The difficulties with the “Long Now” narrative

Hosted by Adam Butler, Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo of ReSolve Global.

Comments 
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Decision Making (EP.02)

Decision Making (EP.02)

ReSolve Asset Management