- Markets are undergoing a clear risk-off rotation, with speculative assets like tech, crypto, and precious metals selling off after periods of extreme greed and overcrowded positioning.
- Precious metals remain in a long-term bull market but may require one to two years of consolidation before sustainably moving higher.
- Crypto's sharp drawdowns and volatility are described as a feature, not a flaw, but current volatility suggests it is not yet an attractive risk-reward entry.
- Capital is rotating into value and defensive sectors such as healthcare, consumer staples, utilities, energy, and industrials.
- Value stocks are outperforming growth stocks, marking a notable regime shift from the past decade's market leadership.
- Defensive, cash-flow-generating businesses are highlighted as portfolio stabilizers during periods of market stress.
- Weakening labor market data and rising layoffs are adding to macro uncertainty and undermining the soft-landing narrative.
- Correlations across risk assets are rising, reducing the diversification benefits of traditionally speculative assets like crypto.
- Market indices such as the NASDAQ are less reflective of pure tech weakness due to non-tech constituents providing offsetting support.
- Liquidity is described as moving like water, flowing out of stressed sectors and into areas showing relative strength.
- The January seasonal "risk-on" effect failed to materialize, suggesting macro forces are overpowering historical patterns.
- Short-term technical indicators show elevated volatility but not yet a definitive structural breakdown.
- Investors are encouraged to focus on where money is flowing rather than what looks cheap after a selloff.
Dump Your Tech... This Sector Is Booming...
Description
Dump your tech because this sector is booming and we are going to tell you what it is! Today we talk the sharp risk-off shift across markets as recent selloffs in crypto, precious metals, and especially technology reflect excessive greed being unwound rather than a systemic collapse. This is not a buy-the-dip environment, and you shouldn't be chasing volatility-heavy assets like crypto and metals too early. We also highlight a clear rotation of liquidity away from growth and speculative assets into value-oriented, defensive sectors such as healthcare, consumer staples, industrials, utilities, energy, and select international stocks, as these boring, low-beta areas are sometimes outperforming amid tech weakness, layoffs, earnings disappointments, and rising macro uncertainty, making capital preservationn and patience more important than chasing rebounds.
We discuss...
Today's Panelists:
Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth
Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors
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