E161: From Rome to Right Now: What History Gets Wrong About Collapse - Dr. Luke Kemp
Description
Dr. Luke Kemp, an Existential Risk Researcher at the University of Cambridge shows how today’s plutocracy and tech-fueled surveillance imperil society—and what we can do to build resilience.
Guest bio:
Dr. Luke Kemp is an Existential Risk Researcher at the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk (CSER) at the University of Cambridge and author of Goliath’s Curse: The History and Future of Societal Collapse. His work examines how wealth concentration, surveillance, and arms races erode democracy and heighten global catastrophic risk.
Topics discussed:
- The “Goliath” concept: dominance hierarchies vs. vague “civilization”
- Are we collapsing now? Signals vs. sudden shocks
- Inequality as the engine of fragility; lootable resources & data
- Tech’s role: AI as accelerant, surveillance capitalism, autonomous weapons
- Nuclear risk, climate links, and system-level causes of catastrophe
- Democracy’s erosion and alternatives (sortition, deliberation)
- Elite overproduction, factionalism, and arms/resource/status “races”
- Collapse as leveler: winners, losers, and myths about mass die-off
- Practical pathways: leveling power, wealth taxes, open democracy
Main points:
- “Civilization” consistently manifests as stacked dominance hierarchies—what Kemp calls the Goliath—which naturally concentrate wealth and power over time.
- Rising inequality spills into political, informational, and coercive power, making societies brittle and less able to correct course.
- Existential threats are interconnected; AI, nukes, climate, and bio risks share causes and amplify each other.
- AI need not be Skynet to be dangerous; it speeds arms races, surveillance, and catastrophic decision cycles.
- Collapse isn’t always apocalypse; often it fragments power and improves life for many outside the elite core.
- Durable safety requires leveling power: progressive/wealth taxation, stronger democracy (especially sortition-based, deliberative bodies), and curbing surveillance and arms races.
Top 3 quotes:
- “Most collapse theories trace back to one driver: the steady concentration of wealth and power that makes societies top-heavy and blind.”
- “AI is an accelerant—pouring fuel on the fires of arms races, surveillance, and extractive economics.”
- “If we want a long future, we don’t just need tech fixes—we need to level power and make democracy real.”
🎙 The Pod is hosted by Jesse Wright
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