Ep. 545 - QB & TE Buys!

Ep. 545 - QB & TE Buys!

Update: 2024-05-29
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This episode of the Dynasty Nerds Fantasy Football Podcast continues the discussion on buy-low players, focusing on tight ends. Garrett Price advocates for Kyle Pitts as a buy-low, arguing that his past production shouldn't overshadow his potential for a breakout season. He believes Pitts's talent and the Falcons' offensive scheme will allow him to thrive. Rich and Matt agree, highlighting Pitts's unique skillset and the opportunity for him to become the primary target in the Falcons' offense. They believe that with increased usage and targets, Pitts can significantly improve his fantasy production, potentially reaching the top 10 tight ends in the league. They also discuss Pitts's potential for increased touchdown production, citing the Falcons' red zone targets and the presence of Drake London as a potential distraction for opposing defenses. The episode concludes with a brief discussion about future topics, including quarterbacks and tight ends.

Outlines

00:00:00
Introduction

This Chapter introduces the Dynasty Nerds Fantasy Football Podcast and its hosts: Rich Dodson, Matt O'Hara, and Garrett Price. They discuss their upcoming vacation plans and the format of the podcast, which will focus on buys and sells in dynasty leagues.

00:03:36
Buy-Low Quarterbacks

This Chapter delves into the topic of buy-low quarterbacks in dynasty leagues. Rich Dodson advocates for Will Levis, the quarterback for the Tennessee Titans, highlighting his strong arm and the team's recent investments in their offensive line and receiving corps. Matt O'Hara expresses some reservations due to the Titans' investment in Levis being only a second-round pick, suggesting a potential for them to move on quickly if he doesn't perform. Garrett Price agrees that Levis is a buy-low candidate but acknowledges the risk involved.

00:23:54
Buy-Low Quarterbacks (Continued)

This Chapter continues the discussion on buy-low quarterbacks. Matt O'Hara presents Kirk Cousins as a buy-low option, citing his age and recent Achilles injury as factors contributing to his depressed ADP. He believes Cousins's experience and the Falcons' offensive scheme will allow him to succeed, even with the presence of rookie Michael Penix. Rich and Garrett express some skepticism, highlighting the significant contract and the potential for Penix to take over the starting role.

00:36:28
Buy-Low Quarterbacks (Continued)

This Chapter concludes the discussion on buy-low quarterbacks. Rich Dodson then advocates for Justin Herbert as a buy-low, pointing out his consistent performance despite the Chargers' recent changes in coaching and receiving corps. He argues that Herbert's talent and potential make him a valuable asset at his current ADP. Matt and Garrett agree, emphasizing Herbert's elite talent and the Chargers' commitment to building a strong offense around him.

00:46:20
Buy-Low Tight Ends

This Chapter shifts the focus to buy-low tight ends. Rich Dodson recommends Evan Ingram as a buy-low, highlighting Ingram's consistent production in Jacksonville, his strong rapport with Trevor Lawrence, and the departure of Calvin Ridley, which should lead to increased targets. Matt O'Hara suggests Luke Musgrave as a buy-low, citing his potential and the Packers' need for a reliable tight end. Garrett Price agrees with both recommendations, emphasizing the scarcity of high-performing tight ends in dynasty leagues.

01:02:12
Buy-Low Tight Ends (Continued)

This Chapter concludes the discussion on buy-low tight ends. Finally, Garrett Price proposes Kyle Pitts as a buy-low, arguing that his past production shouldn't overshadow his potential for a breakout season. He believes Pitts's talent and the Falcons' offensive scheme will allow him to thrive. Rich and Matt agree, highlighting Pitts's unique skillset and the opportunity for him to become the primary target in the Falcons' offense.

01:07:16
Kyle Pitts: Buy-Low Tight End

This Chapter focuses on Kyle Pitts as a buy-low tight end option. The hosts discuss Pitts's potential for a breakout season, citing his talent, the Falcons' offensive scheme, and the opportunity for him to become the primary target. They believe that with increased usage and targets, Pitts can significantly improve his fantasy production, potentially reaching the top 10 tight ends in the league. They also discuss Pitts's potential for increased touchdown production, citing the Falcons' red zone targets and the presence of Drake London as a potential distraction for opposing defenses.

Keywords

Kyle Pitts


Kyle Pitts is an American football tight end who currently plays for the Atlanta Falcons. He was drafted by the Falcons in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft. Pitts is considered one of the most talented tight ends in the NFL, known for his size, speed, and athleticism. He is a potential game-changer for the Falcons' offense.

Arthur Smith


Arthur Smith is an American football coach who is currently the head coach of the Atlanta Falcons. He previously served as the offensive coordinator for the Tennessee Titans, where he helped develop quarterback Ryan Tannehill and running back Derrick Henry. Smith is known for his offensive schemes, which emphasize a balanced attack and a commitment to running the football.

Drake London


Drake London is an American football wide receiver who currently plays for the Atlanta Falcons. He was drafted by the Falcons in the first round of the 2022 NFL Draft. London is a big, physical receiver with a strong catch radius and the ability to make contested catches. He is expected to be a key part of the Falcons' offense for years to come.

Fantasy Football


Fantasy football is a game where participants draft players from a real-life professional football league and compete against each other based on their players' statistical performance. Fantasy football is a popular pastime for football fans, and it has become a multi-billion dollar industry.

Dynasty League


A dynasty league is a type of fantasy football league where teams are built and managed over multiple seasons. Unlike redraft leagues, where teams are drafted anew each year, dynasty leagues allow owners to build a team for the long term, trading players, drafting rookies, and developing their rosters over time. Dynasty leagues are known for their strategic depth and long-term planning.

Buy-Low


In fantasy football, a buy-low refers to acquiring a player whose value is currently depressed in the market. This could be due to recent poor performance, injury concerns, or negative narratives surrounding the player. Buy-low opportunities allow owners to acquire talented players at a discounted price, potentially profiting from their future resurgence.

Tight End


A tight end is a position in American football that combines the blocking responsibilities of an offensive lineman with the receiving skills of a wide receiver. Tight ends are often used in a variety of ways, including blocking for running plays, catching passes, and running routes. They are a valuable asset in both the running and passing game.

PPR


PPR stands for Points Per Reception. It is a fantasy football scoring format that awards points for receptions, in addition to traditional scoring categories such as touchdowns, yards, and interceptions. PPR formats increase the value of players who catch a lot of passes, such as wide receivers and tight ends.

ADP


ADP stands for Average Draft Position. It is a statistical measure that reflects the average round in which a player is drafted in fantasy football leagues. ADP is a valuable tool for fantasy owners, providing insights into the perceived value of players and helping them make informed drafting decisions.

Q&A

  • What are some buy-low quarterback options in dynasty leagues?

    Some buy-low quarterback options in dynasty leagues include Will Levis, Kirk Cousins, and Justin Herbert. These players have experienced recent setbacks, such as injuries or coaching changes, which have led to a decrease in their ADP. However, their talent and potential for future success make them attractive buy-low targets.

  • Why is Will Levis a potential buy-low candidate?

    Will Levis is a potential buy-low candidate due to his strong arm and the Titans' recent investments in their offensive line and receiving corps. These improvements create a favorable environment for his development. However, the Titans' investment in Levis being only a second-round pick raises concerns about their commitment to him, potentially leading to a quick move on if he doesn't perform.

  • What are the risks associated with buying Kirk Cousins?

    The risks associated with buying Kirk Cousins include his age, recent Achilles injury, and the presence of rookie Michael Penix. While Cousins's experience and the Falcons' offensive scheme could lead to success, the significant contract and the potential for Penix to take over the starting role create uncertainty.

  • Why is Justin Herbert a buy-low opportunity?

    Justin Herbert is a buy-low opportunity due to his consistent performance despite the Chargers' recent changes in coaching and receiving corps. His talent and potential make him a valuable asset at his current ADP. The Chargers' commitment to building a strong offense around him further supports his long-term value.

  • What are some buy-low tight end options in dynasty leagues?

    Some buy-low tight end options in dynasty leagues include Evan Ingram and Luke Musgrave. Ingram has consistently produced in Jacksonville, while Musgrave's potential and the Packers' need for a reliable tight end make him an intriguing target. The scarcity of high-performing tight ends in dynasty leagues makes these players valuable assets.

  • Why is Kyle Pitts a buy-low candidate?

    Kyle Pitts is a buy-low candidate because his past production shouldn't overshadow his potential for a breakout season. His talent and the Falcons' offensive scheme create an opportunity for him to thrive. The potential for him to become the primary target in the Falcons' offense makes him a high-ceiling player.

  • What are the benefits of buying low in dynasty leagues?

    Buying low in dynasty leagues allows owners to acquire talented players at a discounted price, potentially profiting from their future resurgence. This strategy can help owners build a competitive team for the long term, as they can acquire players with high upside at a lower cost.

  • What are some factors to consider when evaluating buy-low opportunities?

    When evaluating buy-low opportunities, it's important to consider the player's talent, potential, and current situation. Factors such as injuries, coaching changes, and team performance can all impact a player's value. It's also crucial to assess the risk involved and determine if the potential reward outweighs the potential downside.

  • How can ADP be used to identify buy-low opportunities?

    ADP can be used to identify buy-low opportunities by comparing a player's current ADP to their perceived value. If a player's ADP is significantly lower than their expected production, it could indicate a buy-low opportunity. However, it's important to consider other factors, such as recent performance and team context, before making a decision.

  • What are some strategies for acquiring buy-low players in dynasty leagues?

    Strategies for acquiring buy-low players in dynasty leagues include making offers to owners who are frustrated with a player's recent performance, targeting players who are entering their second or third year in the league, and looking for players who have experienced a change in coaching or team context. It's also important to be patient and wait for the right opportunity to arise.

  • Why do the hosts believe Kyle Pitts is a buy-low candidate?

    The hosts believe Kyle Pitts is a buy-low candidate because they believe his talent and the Falcons' offensive scheme will allow him to thrive. They also believe that with increased usage and targets, Pitts can significantly improve his fantasy production, potentially reaching the top 10 tight ends in the league.

  • What are the hosts' expectations for Kyle Pitts's touchdown production in the upcoming season?

    The hosts believe that Kyle Pitts's touchdown production will increase in the upcoming season. They cite the Falcons' red zone targets and the presence of Drake London as a potential distraction for opposing defenses, which could lead to more opportunities for Pitts to score touchdowns.

Show Notes

Rich Dotson (@DynastyRich), Garret Price (@DynastyPrice) and Matt O'Hara (@DynastyMatt) finish up their "buy" series at the tight end and quarterback position.

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Ep. 545 - QB & TE Buys!

Ep. 545 - QB & TE Buys!

Dynasty Fantasy Football