DiscoverNot Your Average Financial Podcast™Episode 403: Backtesting IULs and Stocks. When Past Performance Doesn’t Even Predict Past Performance!
Episode 403: Backtesting IULs and Stocks. When Past Performance Doesn’t Even Predict Past Performance!

Episode 403: Backtesting IULs and Stocks. When Past Performance Doesn’t Even Predict Past Performance!

Update: 2025-05-231
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In this episode, we ask:



  • What was born 129 years ago today?

  • What has Mark learned?

  • Have you ever seen the phrase, past performance is no guarantee of future results?

  • What about marketing?

  • What about backtesting?

  • What is an index?

  • How is the Dow Jones constructed?

  • How are the stocks in the S&P weighted?

  • What is the supersized Dow?

  • What about target date funds (TDFs)?

  • Where do TDFs live?

  • What about options?

  • What about make-believe simulations?

  • Does past performance reflect past performance?

  • What about the real-time rapid change in the numbers?

  • What factors should we consider?

  • Why bet your retirement on backtesting?

  • What about historical averaging?

  • What about broader trends and contractual guarantees?

  • What about IULs?

  • What about charts looking at a dollar invested in 1929…?

  • Can you drive your car forward by looking in the rearview mirror?

  • What are the takeaways?


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Episode 403: Backtesting IULs and Stocks. When Past Performance Doesn’t Even Predict Past Performance!

Episode 403: Backtesting IULs and Stocks. When Past Performance Doesn’t Even Predict Past Performance!

Not Your Average Financial Podcast™