Fed Rate Cut Odds Plummet, Uncertainty Looms
Update: 2025-11-13
Description
Federal Reserves Interest Rate Decisions in Question: A Shift in ExpectationsThe Federal Reserves upcoming December tenth meeting on interest rates is now less likely to result in a rate cut, with probabilities falling below fifty percent. This is a significant change from last weeks over sixty percent odds and last months ninety-six percent likelihood. The recent U.S. government shutdown has contributed to this uncertainty, as it has limited the availability of crucial economic data, leaving Federal Reserve officials feeling flying blind. Additionally, persistent inflation has made the Fed hesitant to lower rates further, as such a move could potentially fuel price increases. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has emphasized that a rate cut in December is not a foregone conclusion, suggesting a cautious approach.
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