Hindsight Bias

Hindsight Bias

Update: 2025-05-06
Share

Description

Hindsight bias, also known as the "I-knew-it-all-along" effect, is the tendency for people to perceive past events as having been more predictable than they actually were before they occurred. It involves a distortion of memory where individuals mistakenly believe that they would have predicted an outcome or known the correct answer all along, despite not having done so.


I knew it all along... right? 🔮🧐 The illusion thatevents were predictable—after they’ve already happened.


For more mental models, please visit www.mentalmodelsdaily.com


Get the full list at https://tinyurl.com/mentalmodelsdaily


Follow us:

X: @mindmodelsdaily https://x.com/mindmodelsdaily

Instagram: @mentalmodelsdaily https://www.instagram.com/mentalmodelsdaily/


Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@MentalModelsDaily/podcasts

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1f0qi12saeBEJmtnjOSszg

Amazon Music: https://music.amazon.co.uk/podcasts/6da552cf-1714-45ce-b302-7c6c69386fc3/mental-models-daily

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/mental-models-daily/id1754257683

Castbox: https://castbox.fm/channel/Mental-Models-Daily-id6203840?country=us

iHeartRadio: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/269-mental-models-daily-189536773/


Our Podcast music was provided by The Podcast Host and Alitu: The Podcast Maker app.

Comments 
In Channel
Non-Response Bias

Non-Response Bias

2025-05-1105:53

Theory of Mind

Theory of Mind

2025-05-1005:44

Satisficing

Satisficing

2025-05-0905:34

Replication Crisis

Replication Crisis

2025-05-0805:21

Inductive Reasoning

Inductive Reasoning

2025-05-0705:27

Hindsight Bias

Hindsight Bias

2025-05-0605:02

Freudian Slip

Freudian Slip

2025-05-0505:02

False Consensus Effect

False Consensus Effect

2025-05-0406:05

Dopamine Loop

Dopamine Loop

2025-05-0306:09

Confirmation Bias

Confirmation Bias

2025-05-0105:27

Cognitive Dissonance

Cognitive Dissonance

2025-04-3005:25

Winner's Curse

Winner's Curse

2025-04-2905:31

Utility Values

Utility Values

2025-03-3006:47

Tragedy of the Commons

Tragedy of the Commons

2025-03-2806:26

Trademarks

Trademarks

2025-03-2706:45

Tipping Point

Tipping Point

2025-03-2606:45

Switching Costs

Switching Costs

2025-03-2505:57

loading
00:00
00:00
x

0.5x

0.8x

1.0x

1.25x

1.5x

2.0x

3.0x

Sleep Timer

Off

End of Episode

5 Minutes

10 Minutes

15 Minutes

30 Minutes

45 Minutes

60 Minutes

120 Minutes

Hindsight Bias

Hindsight Bias

Mental Models Daily