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Hour 2: Trending Up or Down?

Hour 2: Trending Up or Down?

Update: 2024-09-19
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The episode begins with an analysis of the Patriots vs. Jets game, highlighting the Patriots' strong run game and the Jets' vulnerability to the run. The analysts discuss the potential impact of the Jets' fatigue and the Patriots' banged-up offensive line on the game's outcome. They then shift to gambling predictions, favoring the under in the Patriots vs. Jets game due to the Patriots' run-heavy approach, slow pace, and the Jets' lack of offensive explosiveness. The conversation moves to the Vikings vs. Texans game, with one analyst favoring the Vikings due to their strong defense and home field advantage, while another analyst argues for the Texans' strong receiving corps. The episode then delves into futures bets, with one analyst predicting the Cowboys to miss the playoffs due to their inconsistency, tough schedule, and defensive struggles. The analysts also discuss the Oklahoma vs. Tennessee game, favoring Oklahoma as an underdog due to the large point spread and their strong defense. They briefly touch upon the Lions vs. Cardinals game, suggesting the Lions are on upset alert due to the Cardinals' strong run game and Kyler Murray's playmaking ability. The episode concludes with a discussion about quarterbacks who have had hot starts to the season, debating which quarterback has the best chance of maintaining their success. The analysts discuss the importance of play callers in football, emphasizing their crucial role in game strategy and execution.

Outlines

00:00:00
Patriots vs. Jets: A Run-Heavy Matchup and the Importance of Play Callers

The episode begins with an analysis of the Patriots vs. Jets game, highlighting the Patriots' strong run game and the Jets' vulnerability to the run. The analysts discuss the potential impact of the Jets' fatigue and the Patriots' banged-up offensive line on the game's outcome. They then shift to gambling predictions, favoring the under in the Patriots vs. Jets game due to the Patriots' run-heavy approach, slow pace, and the Jets' lack of offensive explosiveness. The episode concludes with a discussion about the importance of play callers in football, emphasizing their crucial role in game strategy and execution.

00:01:19
Vikings vs. Texans: A Home Field Advantage and Cowboys Futures

The analysts discuss the Vikings vs. Texans game, with one analyst favoring the Vikings due to their strong defense, home field advantage, and the Texans' shaky offensive line. Another analyst disagrees, arguing that the Texans have a strong receiving corps and that the Vikings are missing key offensive players. The conversation shifts to futures bets, with one analyst making a case for the Cowboys to miss the playoffs. They cite the Cowboys' inconsistent performance, their upcoming tough schedule, and their defensive struggles as reasons for their prediction.

00:01:42
Oklahoma vs. Tennessee: A Dog in the SEC and Lions vs. Cardinals: An Upset Alert

The analysts discuss the Oklahoma vs. Tennessee game, with one analyst favoring Oklahoma as an underdog. They point to the large point spread and Oklahoma's strong defense as reasons for their prediction. The analysts briefly discuss the Lions vs. Cardinals game, with one analyst suggesting that the Lions are on upset alert. They highlight the Cardinals' strong run game and Kyler Murray's playmaking ability as potential threats to the Lions.

00:01:57
Hot Starts: Which Quarterback Will Maintain?

The episode concludes with a discussion about quarterbacks who have had hot starts to the season. The analysts debate which quarterback has the best chance of maintaining their success, with various arguments for Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, and Derek Carr.

Keywords

Play Caller


A play caller is a coach or player responsible for selecting and calling plays during a football game. They analyze the opponent's defense, assess their team's strengths and weaknesses, and make strategic decisions to maximize offensive efficiency.

Offensive Efficiency


Offensive efficiency refers to a team's ability to consistently gain yards and score points. It involves effective play calling, player execution, and strategic decision-making to maximize offensive output.

Defensive EPA


Expected Points Added (EPA) is a metric used in football to measure the effectiveness of a play or a player. Defensive EPA measures the average change in expected points for the defense on each play. A higher defensive EPA indicates a more effective defense.

QBR


Quarterback Rating (QBR) is a metric used in football to measure the overall performance of a quarterback. It takes into account all aspects of the quarterback's play, including passing, rushing, and decision-making.

Wide Nine Alignment


A defensive alignment in football where the defensive ends are lined up wide, typically 5-7 yards outside of the offensive tackles. This alignment is designed to create pressure on the quarterback and force the offense to run the ball to the outside.

Downhill Running Game


A running game that emphasizes running the ball straight ahead, typically between the tackles. This style of running game is designed to be physical and wear down the defense.

Zone Running Game


A running game where the offensive linemen are responsible for blocking a specific area of the field, rather than a specific defender. This style of running game is designed to be more flexible and allow the running back to find running lanes.

Q&A

  • What is the key matchup to watch in the Patriots vs. Jets game?

    The key matchup is the Patriots' strong run game against the Jets' vulnerable run defense. The Patriots could exploit this weakness for an upset.

  • What factors could affect the Patriots' run game in this game?

    The Patriots' offensive line is banged up, and the Jets are playing their third game in 11 days, which could lead to fatigue. These factors could impact the effectiveness of the Patriots' run game.

  • Why are the analysts favoring the under in the Patriots vs. Jets game?

    The analysts believe the game will be low-scoring due to the Patriots' run-heavy approach, their slow pace, and the Jets' lack of offensive explosiveness.

  • What is the key factor in the Vikings vs. Texans game?

    The Texans' shaky offensive line could be a major problem against the Vikings' strong defense, which could lead to a Vikings victory.

  • What is the analyst's reasoning for betting on the Cowboys to miss the playoffs?

    The analyst believes the Cowboys are inconsistent, have a tough upcoming schedule, and struggle defensively, making it unlikely they will make the playoffs.

  • Why is the analyst favoring Oklahoma as an underdog against Tennessee?

    The analyst believes the point spread is too large, and Oklahoma's strong defense could give Tennessee's offense trouble.

  • What is the analyst's reasoning for believing the Lions are on upset alert against the Cardinals?

    The Cardinals have a strong run game and Kyler Murray's playmaking ability could pose a threat to the Lions, making an upset possible.

  • Why are play callers so important in football?

    Play callers are crucial because they determine the offensive strategy and make real-time decisions based on the opponent's defense and their team's strengths. Their ability to call effective plays directly impacts the team's ability to gain yards and score points.

  • What qualities make a good play caller?

    A good play caller needs a deep understanding of the game, the ability to analyze the opponent's defense, and the confidence to make quick decisions under pressure. They must also be able to effectively communicate their plans to the players.

Show Notes

Stephen A. Smith, Dan Orlovsky, Jason McCourty, and Mina Kimes debate which side of the ball will have the edge in tonight's game: the Jets' defense or the Patriots' run game? Joe Fortenbaugh joins the show with his best bets for this weekend's NFL and college football action. Kimberley A. Martin joins the show to discuss the NFL quarterback who will maintain their hot start to the season. The crew also debates if the Eagles must win their game against the Saints this Sunday. Lastly, the crew share their predictions for tonight's game between the Jets and Patriots.

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Hour 2: Trending Up or Down?

Hour 2: Trending Up or Down?

ESPN, Stephen A. Smith, Molly Qerim Rose