Housing Market Predictions for 2026: A Modest Recovery
Update: 2025-12-04
Description
Housing Market Predictions for 2026: A Mixed BagIn this episode, we delve into the latest housing market forecasts for 2026, revealing a complex picture. Realtor.com predicts a long-awaited reset, with Raleighs home prices expected to drop by 3.7%, making it one of the top five metros for anticipated declines. This shift is influenced by easing mortgage rates, rising incomes, and increased new construction.However, the impact varies across submarkets. While Raleigh-Cary anticipates a 4.4% decrease in home sales, Chapel Hill-Durham is projected to see a 1% rise in sales and a 2.9% increase in prices. This divergence is due to different supply and demand dynamics.Nationally, a modest recovery is expected, with average 30-year mortgage rates around 6.3%, a 2.2% growth in home prices, and a slight 1% drop in rents. Existing home inventory is also projected to increase by 8.9%.Overall, 2026 is shaping up to be a welcome, albeit modest, step towards a healthier housing market, but the recovery is expected to be slow and the outlook remains somewhat fragile.
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