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How 2 predict grades badly...

How 2 predict grades badly...

Update: 2020-10-21
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Description

Zoey and Bia discuss some of the mistakes that Ofqual made in their algorithm, how using “complicated” maths is not necessarily better, and share some anecdotes of their experiences with teachers and dealing with (un)conscious bias.


Timestamps



  • 00:20 – Introduction

  • 01:54 – Initial thoughts

  • 02:42 – Mistake #1 – Their approach

  • 04:43 – Mistake #2 – Data leakage

  • 05:15 – Mistake #3 – Emphasis on the rank

  • 06:57 – Mistake #4 – Ignoring outliers

  • 08:31 – Mistake # 5 – No peer review

  • 09:16 – Mistake #6 – Too precise

  • 11:14 - Mistake #7 –Disregarded unconscious bias.

  • 12:53 – Mistake #8: Education system in the UK.

  • 13:30 – Ofqual considered edge cases – (almost a positive thing!)

  • 15:00 – How we might have handled this situation

  • 17:39 – Another example of algorithmic bias – Accounting system the Post Office used.

  • 18:53 – Challenge: “Prison Break”. This based on “Liar’s paradox” attributed to Epimenides (amongst many other philosophers). For more challenges, presented in a more visual manner, check out our Instagram.

  • 25:52 – Anecdotes of experiencing bias from teachers.


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How 2 predict grades badly...

How 2 predict grades badly...

Bia and Zoey