How to read and trade the Fed expectations?

How to read and trade the Fed expectations?

Update: 2025-10-16
Share

Description

The Federal Reserve moves markets like no other institution. From mortgage rates to gold and Bitcoin, every asset feels the ripple of Fed decisions. But here’s the twist — it’s not just what the Fed does, it’s what markets expect it to do next that really drives prices. In this episode, we break down how traders track those expectations through the CME FedWatch Tool, how to read the Fed’s “dot plot,” and why forward guidance often moves markets more than actual rate changes.
Discover how to interpret Fed probabilities, spot market reactions and understand what “don’t fight the Fed” truly means. Whether you invest in bonds, currencies or stocks, learning the Fed’s playbook can give you a critical edge.
Listen to find out more!
Comments 
00:00
00:00
x

0.5x

0.8x

1.0x

1.25x

1.5x

2.0x

3.0x

Sleep Timer

Off

End of Episode

5 Minutes

10 Minutes

15 Minutes

30 Minutes

45 Minutes

60 Minutes

120 Minutes

How to read and trade the Fed expectations?

How to read and trade the Fed expectations?

Insights, strategies, and innovations for smarter trading