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Knowledge vs Judgement and AI forecasting

Knowledge vs Judgement and AI forecasting

Update: 2025-10-21
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Description

AI is making predictions cheaper, faster, and easier at scale. But forecasting is still guessing, and NYU Stern Professor Jamyn Edis argues that what AI can't replace is human judgment. In this conversation, we dig into why defining "intelligence" matters, how business actually works versus how we pretend it works, and what happens when we confuse prediction with decision-making.


Details in the Show:


* Why judgment and intelligence aren't the same thing

* The difference between prediction and decision-making in business

* How AI changes what we measure, not whether we should trust the measurement

* Academic vs. business discourse (and why one is afraid of being wrong)

* Putting tomatoes in fruit salad

About ON_Discourse


ON_Discourse is a private community of C-suite leaders, investors, and innovators who come together to challenge assumptions, sharpen ideas, and drive transformation through discourse. 


As an experiment in modern discourse, the show’s hosts co-founders, Toby Daniels, Dan Gardner, and Head of Discourse, Matt Chmiel, explore how emerging technologies, such as AI are reshaping business, creativity, and culture, grounded in the real-world experiences that emerge from our community’s private Group Chats.


Learn more about becoming part of the community: ondiscourse.com


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Knowledge vs Judgement and AI forecasting

Knowledge vs Judgement and AI forecasting