Meta (META) Stock Crash: Buy, Hold, or Sell? | 26% Oversold RSI & AI Growth Breakdown
Description
Meta (META) Stock Crash: Buy, Hold, or Sell? | 26% Oversold RSI & AI Growth Breakdown
Good morning traders and investors — I’m Norbert B.M., and welcome back to Wealth Dome, where I build and protect wealth.
After a strong year of performance, Meta Platforms (META) stock has pulled back sharply post-earnings — down over 20% from recent highs.
So the question is:
“Is this a buying opportunity, a warning signal, or just a healthy correction?”
Let’s break it all down 👇
💡 What Hit META Stock?
Two major things:
* Infrastructure spending surge — heavy Reality Labs CapEx.
* $50.9 billion tax charge, which distorted reported net income.
Despite these one-time factors, Meta’s core business remains a cash-printing machine — but the stock market has shifted its narrative from undervalued tech to AI growth story under scrutiny.
📊 Meta Q3 2025 Earnings Overview
MetricQ3 2025YoY ChangeRevenue$51.24B+26%Net Income$2.7B↓83% (due to tax charge)Adjusted Net Income$18.6B+19% (excluding tax)Free Cash Flow$10.6B+28%EPS (diluted)$7.25+6.2%
Key takeaway:
“The fundamentals are still strong — it’s the accounting that spooked investors.”
🧮 Valuation vs Peers
CompanyPE Ratio5-Year AvgCommentMeta (META)25.521.9Slightly above avgAlphabet (GOOGL)33.921More expensiveMastercard (MA)37.749ExpensiveNetflix (NFLX)5549OvervaluedAlibaba (BABA)2022Cheap alternative
Meta’s forward PE sits just above its historical average — not cheap, but still fair compared to peers, especially given AI-driven ad revenue acceleration.
🤖 Growth Drivers
* AI-Enhanced Ad Targeting – boosting impressions & price per ad.
* Reels Monetization – closing the gap with TikTok.
* Threads Growth – slow but steady user base expansion.
* Reality Labs (VR/AR) – CapEx-heavy but strategic for future platforms.
“Meta is not a social media company — it’s an ad company with AI scalability.”
📈 Ad Performance by Region (YoY Change)
RegionAd ImpressionsAvg. Price per AdU.S. & Canada↓1%Slight declineEurope+9%Up from 6%Asia-Pacific+23%Strongest regionRest of World+20%Strong rebound
The most important metric: Meta’s pricing power remains intact.
“When a company can raise ad prices — that’s real strength.”
⚙️ Technical Analysis: Oversold Setup
* RSI: 26.3 (massively oversold)
* MACD: Bearish crossover, but flattening
* Ichimoku Cloud: Below cloud (short-term bearish)
* Support: $500–$570 zone
* Resistance: $650–$680 zone
“A bounce toward the 200-day moving average is likely — the 500–570 zone could be a generational buy area.”
🧭 Buy, Hold, or Sell?
* Long-Term Investors: Hold and consider adding gradually near support.
* Swing Traders: Watch for RSI recovery and confirmation near 570.
* Short-Term Outlook: Oversold bounce likely, but volatility remains high.
“If you already own META, hold tight. If you’re looking to add, scale in between $500–$570.”
📊 Mentioned Stocks
META, GOOGL, MA, NFLX, BABA, KO, SPX, NDX
🔗 Relevant Links
* Meta Q3 2025 Report
💬 Final Thoughts
Meta remains one of the most profitable AI-powered ad businesses in the world.Short-term pain from tax and CapEx spending is overshadowing a structurally strong cash engine.
“This is not a broken company — it’s a misunderstood one. Great companies go on sale only a few times per decade.”
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