Natural Gas Seasonality and Exports
Description
The Option Trading Concepts Live team explored potential opportunities in natural gas futures amid recent price declines. Thomas Westwater presented a bullish case for natural gas based on seasonal trends, European price premiums, and technical indicators. Natty gas prices have fallen to lows after a bearish summer with low cooling demand, but the team suggests this may represent a buying opportunity heading into winter demand season. European prices have increased to 8.7 compared to U.S. prices, creating arbitrage opportunities for U.S. exports. Host Nick Battista and co-hosts Michael Butler and Thomas Westwater all positioned themselves with micro natural gas contracts, citing seasonality strength through November and model predictions showing potential 15-20% upside from current levels around $2.72. The panel also discussed trade management for various positions including Apple put verticals, debit butterflies, and covered strangles, emphasizing position sizing as critical for managing risk in futures trading.