David Erfle is expecting Newmont $NEM to report “blowout” quarterly earnings next week. The gold price averaged $2090/oz in Q1 ’24, but it averaged $2340/oz in Q2, David pointed out. “So you’ve got the largest gold miner in the world that is about to announce [earnings] results [next week]. And basically, [production] costs have flattened out but the gold price is almost $350/oz higher. So, it is likely to be another blowout quarter, and yet your generalist investor is not really paying attention,” Erfle stated in this MSE episode. David also provides commentary on the gold price and the broader junior mining sector.

David Erfle is a self-taught mining sector investor. He stumbled upon the mining space in 2003 as he was looking to invest into a growing sector of the market. After researching the gains made from the 2001 bottom in the tiny gold and silver complex, he became fascinated with this niche market. So much so that in 2005 he decided to sell his home and invest the entire proceeds from the sale into junior mining companies. When his account had tripled by September, 2007, he decided to quit his job as the Telecommunications Equipment Buyer at UCLA and make investing in this sector his full-time job. David founded the Junior Miner Junky subscription-based newsletter in April, 2017 and writes a weekly column for precious metals news service Kitco.com, whose website attracts nearly a million visits every day.

0:00 Introduction
1:24 Gold price
3:38 Trigger for more gold stock interest
6:26 Next gold breakout price
12:20 Victoria Gold’s disaster
16:04 Risk tolerance for this cycle
17:57 Don’t sell your gold stocks too early
20:26 “Start with the project”?

David’s website: https://juniorminerjunky.com/

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