OIES Podcast – The future of Russian gas flows
Description
In this latest OIES podcast, from the Gas Programme, James Henderson talks to Bill Farren-Price and Jack Sharples about their latest research on the future of Russian gas flows. Bill first provides some context for the discussion in terms of the search for a ceasefire in Ukraine and the development of US-Russia relations, highlighting the possibility of sanctions being removed on Russian LNG. He discusses the potential impact of the arrival of LNG from the Arctic LNG 2 project, which has been hardest hot by sanctions to date, and considers the various incentives and price outcomes. Jack then considers pipeline flows, looking at the various routes for Russian gas to Europe and discussing the practical, regulatory and contractual challenges that would face any rebound in gas exports. His overall conclusion is that it will be difficult to see any significant short term increase, and that by the time Russian gas could return it will be encountering a much more competitive gas market as new LNG projects come online.
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