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Open De France Picks and Predictions

Open De France Picks and Predictions

Update: 2025-09-17
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Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Open De France
-Discussing top 5 on odds board
-1 matchup
-1 t20
-3 outrights (50/1, 100/1, 125/1)
-Sleeper
French Open Preview with Will Doctor (0:150:28 )

Will Doctor opens with high energy, promising sharp insights for the upcoming French Open at St. Nom. His words, “Nice to have you with us as I bring you the sharpest picks for the latest PGA Tour event,” set the tone for an in-depth analysis filled with betting angles and course breakdowns.


Course and Field Context (0:4030:08 )

Doctor describes St. Nom, a Robert Trent Jones design, as a “narrow thinker’s test” that has not hosted since 1982. He emphasizes its 7,000-yard length, tree-lined fairways, and small greens. His assessment, “I expect some pretty low scores this week,” highlights the scoring potential. He recalls its recent use in the 2022 World Amateur Team Championship, noting players like Wenyi Ding, Sam Bearstow, and Martin Kuvra, who all feature this week. Betting odds and past performance details underscore the predictive analysis, such as Julian Sale’s recent Challenge Tour results and Tom Volant’s top-10 finish at the Eisenhower Trophy.


Review of Last Week’s Betting Card (30:08 – onwards)

Doctor reflects on wins and losses, spotlighting Scottie Scheffler. He recalls backlash for betting him early, countering with “He is all about firsts,” noting Scheffler’s six wins in each of the last two seasons. His dominance, especially forcing Ben Griffin to fold under pressure, is framed as comparable to Tiger Woods’ psychological impact. Key stats include Scheffler tying for 40th on the all-time PGA Tour wins list and joining Tiger as the only two players since 1983 with six or more wins in multiple seasons. This contextualizes Scheffler’s place in modern golf.


Doctor also reviews struggles: Ángel Iora’s poor short game despite strong driving, Rory McIlroy’s doubles costing him contention, and Tommy Fleetwood’s rust. Successful tickets included Maverick McNeely’s top 20 and Oliver Lindell’s top 20, but overall, the week ended down 2.8 units.


French Open Favorites (Harry Hall to Minwoo Lee)

Doctor dissects leading contenders:




  • Harry Hall (12-1): praised for consistent form but passed on due to limited value.




  • Corey Connors (12-1): strong ball-striker with past success at La National but questionable putting; Doctor expects better live odds.




  • Jordan Smith (25-1): consistent but hampered by poor chipping, making him a pass.




  • Adrian Satie (25-1): recent hot streak, including near-wins, but poor national tournament history reduces appeal.




  • Minwoo Lee (25-1): streaky play and weak irons lead to another pass.




Matchups

Two betting angles emerge:




  1. Tom Volant over Frederic Lacroix (-135): Volant’s strong iron play and past success at St. Nom outweigh Lacroix’s struggles with irons and putting.




  2. Elvis Smiley over Julien Guerrier (-125): Smiley’s resilience and consistent cuts contrast Guerrier’s recent missed cuts and declining form.




Best Bets and Outrights




  • Martin Kuvra (50-1 outright, 2-1 top 20): Cited as the best bet thanks to regained form at Wentworth and proven winning pedigree.




  • Guido Migliozzi (100-1): A past French Open champion whose iron play is resurging.




  • Rafa Cabrera-Bello (125-1 outright, +750 top 10 sleeper): Veteran Spaniard showing renewed consistency, strong putting, and proven success in France.




Closing

Doctor concludes by affirming confidence in his picks: Kuvra as the anchor bet, Migliozzi as value, and Cabrera-Bello as a sleeper. His final note, “That’s the card. That’ll do it for the French Open preview,” signals readiness for the Ryder Cup next

For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59


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Open De France Picks and Predictions

Open De France Picks and Predictions

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