Options Trading: Probabilities Over Valuations
Update: 2025-12-20
Description
Revolutionizing Stock Valuations: A New Approach to Options TradingIn this episode, a trading expert challenges traditional stock valuation methods, drawing inspiration from The Matrix. Instead of labeling shares as undervalued or overvalued, focus on probabilities and market data for smarter options plays.For Oracle (O-R-C-L), analysis suggests the stock, currently around $192, is likely to cluster between $200 and $205 over the next ten weeks.NextEra Energy (N-E-E), the worlds largest utility, has only gained 11% this year while the S&P 500 is up 16%. However, probability maps indicate a bull call spread from $80 to $85 could pay off as it eyes $81 or higher.Iron Mountain (I-R-M), despite a 24% year-to-date decline, shows potential upside to $88 or more. A recommended $80 to $90 bull call spread could deliver a 150% payout.Options traders are encouraged to consider these probabilistic setups and keep an eye on February 20th expirations for Oracle, NextEra, and Iron Mountain.
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