Middle East tensions, catastrophic flooding and a vice-presidential debate. What events could shake up the US race? Caitríona Perry, Sumi Somaskanda, and Katty Kay discuss what “October Surprises” could change the course of the US presidential election.

Until the US election, every weekend The Global Story brings you "Path to the Presidency," where we delve into the state of the race and examine what’s on the minds of those closest to it.

The Global Story brings you trusted insights from BBC journalists worldwide. We want your ideas, stories and experiences to help us understand and tell #TheGlobalStory. Email us at theglobalstory@bbc.com You can also message us or leave a voice note via WhatsApp on +44 330 123 9480.

Producer: Aiden Johnson

Sound engineer: Ben Andrews

Assistant editor: Sergi Forcada Freixas

Senior news editor: Sara Wadeson