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Sasol and Eskom to explore demand anchors for LNG as part of effort to avert 'gas cliff'

Sasol and Eskom to explore demand anchors for LNG as part of effort to avert 'gas cliff'

Update: 2024-09-20
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Eskom and Sasol have signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) to jointly explore the potential to introduce liquified natural gas (LNG) to replace natural gas imports from southern Mozambique, which are currently set to decline sharply from 2027.

The MoU was signed by Eskom CEO Dan Marokane and Sasol CEO Simon Baloyi at a ceremony held at Eskom's Megawatt Park, which was attended by Electricity and Energy Minister Dr Kgosientsho Ramokgopa.

Sasol announced in early September that the gas-supply plateau ahead of a so-called 'gas cliff' had been extended by a year from the initial timeline of mid-2026, and that work was under way to try to extend the plateau to mid-2028.

However, Baloyi stressed that these efforts had simply delayed the inevitable decline in gas imports from the Pande and Temane fields and should be seen as a bridge to the importation of LNG, particularly given that indigenous gas sources were unlikely to materialise in time.

Sasol had also resolved to play a central role in aggregating domestic demand to create the basis for LNG imports, as a way of providing gas users with longer-term certainty of supply, albeit at a far higher price relative to current prices.

"[The extension] has now given us space and scope to be able to bring in LNG . . . and that time must not be wasted," Baloyi said at the signing ceremony.

He also insisted that Sasol's plans could complement the aggregator initiative being pursued by large gas consumers under the banner of the Industrial Gas Users Association of Southern Africa.

Non-Sasol domestic demand of up to 180 PJ/y is currently located mainly in Gauteng and KwaZulu-Natal, which is met through the Rompco pipeline from southern Mozambique to South Africa, as well as a pipeline to KwaZulu-Natal.

Such demand is not substantial enough to secure competitively priced LNG from international sources and, through the MoU, the prospect of "anchoring" that demand with gas-to-power (GtP) generation, including at repurposed coal plants within proximity to the Rompco pipeline, will be explored.

"The context of this MoU is on the back of seeking to exploit opportunities that may arise based on the infrastructure that already exists, namely the Rompco pipeline," Marokane explained.

"It is this pipeline whose capacity will be redundant as indigenous gas from Mozambique declines, [and] the importation of LNG will take advantage of this installed infrastructure to access the markets that are already existing inland," he added. Indicating that the gas would, thus, not be used to supply the open-cycle gas turbines that currently use diesel.

Marokane said the MoU would also provide Eskom with "optionality" to accelerate its GtP strategy. The State-owned company has indicated previously that it has a 20-GW-plus generation project pipeline that includes 4 GW of GtP, including a 3 GW project proposed for Richards Bay.

Eskom was, thus, paying close attention to the updating under way on the Integrated Resource Plan with a view to ensuring that there was scope for it to pursue such projects, with Marokane noting that it was already in the process of procuring solar PV and battery storage capacity at two power station sites, Komati and Lethabo.

Ramokgopa described the MoU as part of the country's emergency response to the impending gas cliff and said that government intended to support the initiative through various government-to-government initiatives, including with Qatar, which had expressed its support for South Africa's LNG ambitions.

In their joint statement, Eskom and Sasol indicated that they would also explore sourcing gas within South Africa, the Southern African Development Community, and other parts of the African continent.

No specific projects or timelines were provided with regards to implementing the MoU, with Marokane saying only th...
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Sasol and Eskom to explore demand anchors for LNG as part of effort to avert 'gas cliff'

Sasol and Eskom to explore demand anchors for LNG as part of effort to avert 'gas cliff'

Terence Creamer