Edition No61 | 15-11-2024 - This episode focuses on opportunities for
the Trump administration to win in Ukraine. It does not mean he will
adopt them or be minded to embrace similar measures. Only the choices he
makes, and discernible actions he takes when his administration assumes
power, will tell the truth about what’s in his mind. His choices may
also be guided by events, rather than any premeditated strategy. That
means we need to be agile, and ready to inject ideas and opportunities
into policy, as there may be a deficit of them within the
administration. Especially if Putin turns on Trump, or vice versa.
~~~~~

CHAPTERS:
00:00:00 Ten ways to screw up Russia
00:09:25 One - Response to escalation
00:15:00 Two - Indifference to Biden's red lines
00:19:52 Three - Drill to deflate oil prices
00:22:05 Four - Divide China from Russia
00:26:05 Five - Demand peace, with ultimatums
00:27:51 Six - Enforce component sanctions on adversaries and allies
00:30:18 Seven - Deter and degrade Russia's proxies and partners
00:31:51 Eight - Destroy NATO's credibility
00:36:13 Nine - Provocations escalate
00:40:26 Ten - Russian hubris triggers Trump
00:44:51 Summary
~~~~~

SILICON CURTAIN FILM FUNDRAISER
A project to make a documentary film in Ukraine, to raise awareness of
Ukraine's struggle and in supporting a team running aid convoys to
Ukraine's frontline towns.
https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras
~~~~~

But a hallmark of his tenure in the Oval office is likely to be
uncertainty and surprise. Of course, this is the opposite of the
crushingly predictable, obvious, and cautious actions of Biden, guided
by the Sullivan Doctrine. Soft appeasement and self-deterring
de-escalation have given way to uncertainty. This episode is intended to
be a catalyst of ideas, and to stimulate the pro-Ukraine community to
seek opportunity, not despair. Whether consciously or accidentally, here
are ten ways that Trump could screw Russia.

Those who voted for Trump see an opportunity, those who opposed him see
only drs closing, and incipient authoritarianism and chaos. Russian
propaganda is expert at driving this edge wider and making it more
toxic. It’s incumbent on us to find ways to close the gap in perception,
and counter propagandistic narratives.

Trump made his core campaign slogan – close to commitment – to stop the
wars. - War does not stop. Wars will not stop. The move towards
rules-based global competitor has turned to scrabbling rivalry,
increasingly fractious and lawless.

We call it the international order – others just see the biggest gang on
the street. We’ve not seen that it’s gone, while countries in the
periphery of it will likely not mourn its passing, because in the
short-term it’s in their financial interests. The long-term stability of
international order probably always seemed contingent for them on the
maintenance on Western military hegemony. That’s passing too.
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https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain
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TRUSTED CHARITIES ON THE GROUND:
Save Ukraine
https://www.saveukraineua.org/

Superhumans - Hospital for war traumas
https://superhumans.com/en/

UNBROKEN - Treatment. Prosthesis. Rehabilitation for Ukrainians in
Ukraine
https://unbroken.org.ua/

Come Back Alive
https://savelife.in.ua/en/

Chefs For Ukraine - World Central Kitchen
https://wck.org/relief/activation-chefs-for-ukraine

UNITED24 - An initiative of President Zelenskyy
https://u24.gov.ua/

Serhiy Prytula Charity Foundation
https://prytulafoundation.org

NGO “Herojam Slava”
https://heroiamslava.org/

kharpp - Reconstruction project supporting communities in Kharkiv and
Przemyśl
https://kharpp.com/

NOR DOG Animal Rescue
https://www.nor-dog.org/home/
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