Nick Luck and Neil Channing return for Episode 5 of the Political Betting show in the run-up to the UK General Election 2024. Under duress to dig out any value in the hyper-efficient markets for Labour Gains, Neil finally polishes his gem in a seat where the Tories have a near 20,000 majority. Also in this episode, why the opaque picture in Scotland could still throw up a clear win for the SNP in West Aberdeen, and why personality politics could play their part in a key DUP/UUP marginal in Northern Ireland. We ask whether the Lib Dems can pick off more Conservatives in the Blue Wall irrespective of Reform, while our bookmaking friends Will Kedjanyi and William Woodhams give us an outline of activity in their trading rooms.