DiscoverFinancology PodcastThe Psychology of Chance: Why We Play the Lottery
The Psychology of Chance: Why We Play the Lottery

The Psychology of Chance: Why We Play the Lottery

Update: 2025-09-09
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This episode explores the psychological reasons why people play the lottery despite astronomical odds, based on a newsletter by Dr. Ryan Anderson. It delves into the concept of expected utility and explains how various cognitive biases override logical decision-making. Key biases discussed include the near-miss effect, our brain's difficulty with large numbers, the availability heuristic, the gambler's fallacy, and the illusion of control. The episode also considers the entertainment, social, and escapism factors of playing the lottery, offering a unique perspective on human decision-making.

• Cognitive biases override logical expected utility in lottery playing: Biases such as the near-miss effect, our brain's struggle with large numbers, the availability heuristic, the gambler's fallacy, and the illusion of control trick us into overestimating winning chances.

• Lottery offers entertainment, social connection, and escapism: Beyond the slim chance of winning, people play for the fun, shared dreams, sense of community, anticipation, and a temporary escape from routine, which for some is worth the ticket price.

• Awareness of biases can improve everyday decision-making: Understanding these mental shortcuts, including the sunk cost fallacy, can help us make more informed choices in various risk-reward situations, fostering appreciation for "small but meaningful wins" in daily life.

For more valuable information on the psychology of investing, wealth creation, and making smart money choices, subscribe to Ryan's Financology Substack: https://drryana.substack.com/



This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit drryana.substack.com
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The Psychology of Chance: Why We Play the Lottery

The Psychology of Chance: Why We Play the Lottery

David