According to the latest rumors, you’ll be able to buy the iPhone 14 earlier than ever this year. Instead of its traditional date during the second week of September, Mark Gurman of Bloomberg has reported that Apple’s first event of the fall will be held on Wednesday, September 7, the earliest it’s been since Apple started launching iPhones in September.

But that’s not the only thing about this year’s launch that’s different. All of the recent rumors say Apple will differentiate the iPhone 14 lineup like never before, with an unprecedented splitting of the Pro and non-Pro models and a greater emphasis on high-end features. Here’s how the new strategy will be a huge risk:

Prices are going way up

Over the past several years, Apple has made a point of keeping iPhone prices steady. The iPhone X cost $999 when it launched in 2017 and the iPhone 13 Pro costs the same $999 five years later. Similarly, the iPhone XS Max cost $1,099 when it arrived in 2018 and Apple hasn’t increased the price of that model either despite adding a bigger screen and extra camera.

But this year, rumors say the iPhone 14 Pro models are going to jump by $100 across the board, meaning the Pro will start at $1,099 and the Pro Max at $1,199. That’s roughly 10 percent higher and a pretty big year-over-year jump. Meanwhile, the non-Pro line will have a higher starting price as well, with the $699 mini going away and an $899 Max model taking its place.

Risk factors: Will people be willing to spend $100 or more on a new iPhone? Will the higher starting price for the Max model turn off upgraders?

The iPhone 14 will have non-notch envy

The iPhone’s notch might have been a polarizing feature back in 2017, but it’s become the handset’s most recognizable characteristic. And it might be going away—at least on the Pro models. Rumors say that instead of a notch the iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max will have a hole + pill camera cutout design that’s not dissimilar to higher-end Android phones.

While notch-haters will certainly appreciate the new look, casual Apple fans might not be as keen on it. For one, it’s a bit generic; for another, the iPhone 14 Pro will have a different look than the iPhone 14. People are used to iPhone models being slightly different, but changing the notch on one line and leaving it on another is a dramatic change.

Risk factors: Will the iPhone 14 seem like less of an upgrade? Will people embrace the new cutout design?

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For the first time, the iPhone 14 Pro won’t have the same notch as the iPhone 15.

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Michael Simon/IDG

The iPhone 14 will have an old chip

Perhaps the biggest change with the iPhone 14 is with the processor. Since the very first iPhone, all models released in the same year have had the latest processor—including the iPhone SE—but rumors say Apple will break from that trend. While the iPhone 14 Pro models will get the new A16 chip, the iPhone 14 will reportedly have the older A15 chip that’s in the iPhone 13 Pro. Apple will surely tout performance improvements, but for the first time, the iPhone 14 will be significantly slower than the iPhone 14 Pro.

Risk factors: Does processor speed matter to buyers? Will buyers question whether they actually need the power that the iPhone 14 Pro delivers?

The iPhone 14 Pro still won’t have a decent zoom lens

If there’s one knock on the iPhone over the past few updates, it’s the lack of a proper zoom lens. According to rumors, that’s not going to change with the iPhone 14. While there will certainly be camera improvements—most notably a 48MP lens on the Pro models—optical zoom will likely remain limited to 3X, which is quite underwhelming in 2022. Several Android phones have 5X and 10X optical zoom and digital capabilities up to 100X, while the iPhone still tops out at 15X and struggles mightily to get there.

Risk factors: Will buyers care more about image quality than closeness? Will the camera on the non-Pro models offer any reason to upgrade?

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The iPhone 14 will likely have a very similar look to the iPhone 12 (left) and 13 (right).

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Michael Simon/IDG

The iPhone 14 will have a 2-year-old design

Apple typically redesigns its handsets every other year, but it looks like the iPhone 14 will have the same design as the iPhone 13, which had the same design as the iPhone 12. That would be the first time ever that Apple recycled an iPhone design for more than a generation:

• iPhone
• iPhone 3G, 3GS
• iPhone 4, 4S
• iPhone 5, 5S
• iPhone 6, 6S
• iPhone 7, 8
• iPhone X, XS
• iPhone 11
• iPhone 12, 13, 14

It’s not that the iPhone 13 is an ugly phone, of course, but we’ve grown accustomed to new designs every other year. And people heading to the store to see the new iPhone design will find that it looks very similar.

Risk factors: Will people even recognize that there’s a new iPhone? Will iPhone 12 users wait another year to upgrade?