U.S. Bonds in 2026: Bullish or Bearish?
Update: 2025-11-27
Description
In the U.S. government bond market, long-term bonds like the thirty-year Treasury have been fluctuating within a narrow range since their peak in 2020. The iShares twenty-plus Year Treasury Bond ETF, TLT, has also been trading sideways, despite the Federal Reserves efforts to lower short-term interest rates. Looking ahead to 2026, potential factors influencing bond prices include a new administrations interest rate policies and market volatility. However, inflation and the rising national debt could also impact bond prices. The current situation suggests a possible breakout in either direction, with significant implications for bond prices.
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