DiscoverReady For RetirementWhy You Should Avoid Simplistic Monte Carlo Results and Create a Real Financial Plan Instead
Why You Should Avoid Simplistic Monte Carlo Results and Create a Real Financial Plan Instead

Why You Should Avoid Simplistic Monte Carlo Results and Create a Real Financial Plan Instead

Update: 2024-12-17
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Are you mistaking a Monte Carlo analysis for real financial planning? I'll explain why this common tool, often used by financial advisors, is not a substitute for a true financial plan. A Monte Carlo analysis provides probabilities of success based on investment outcomes, but it doesn’t offer actionable steps, strategies, or a clear path to achieving your goals.

I’ll break down the benefits and limitations of Monte Carlo simulations and show you what real financial planning should deliver: clarity on spending, income strategies, tax-saving opportunities, investment optimization, and a roadmap to living your best life. Don’t settle for vague probabilities—learn how a comprehensive financial plan can give you the confidence and direction you deserve.

Questions answered:
1. Why is a Monte Carlo analysis not the same as a comprehensive financial plan?

2. What should a true financial plan include to ensure success and peace of mind?

Submit your request to join James:
On the Ready For Retirement podcast: Apply Here
On a Retirement Makeover episode: Apply Here  

Timestamps:
0:00 - Monte Carlo analysis vs financial plan
1:34 - What is Monte Carlo analysis?
4:02 - Why a MC analysis is not enough
6:08 - Benefits of a MC analysis
7:59 - Downsides of MC analysis
11:18 - Consider of severity of failure 
13:23 - Perspective and peace of mind
14:51 - What a financial plan do
17:08 - Summary

Create Your Custom Strategy ⬇️


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Why You Should Avoid Simplistic Monte Carlo Results and Create a Real Financial Plan Instead

Why You Should Avoid Simplistic Monte Carlo Results and Create a Real Financial Plan Instead

James Conole, CFP®