Will Reform win the next UK election?
Update: 2025-09-21
Description
The next four years in British politics will be turbulent. Here is what the markets are predicting. And what I think will happen.
(00:00 ) intro
(00:15 ) What are the odds?
(04:15 ) Is the betting market wrong?
(06:20 ) Trend to populist right
(07:49 ) Labour’s position
(09:05 ) Will Keir Starmer be replaced?
(09:42 ) Labour will rebrand
(11:35 ) How Labour could win
(13:35 ) Labour and immigration
(14:23 ) Can the Conservatives win?
(16:39 ) The Liberal Democrats
(17:18 ) The Greens and Zack Polanski
(20:50 ) How Reform could be defeated
(26:35 ) Centrists: my message to you
(28:03 ) The left: how you can win
(32:28 ) What will happen if Farage wins
(36:28 ) The slide towards extremism
(38:28 ) Reform voters: my message to you
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