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The Lead-Lag Report

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Bitcoin has spent years being dismissed as a volatile proxy for tech stocks, but something quieter and far more consequential has been unfolding beneath the surface: its correlation to traditional risk assets has slipped to multi-year lows¹.
Markets continue to shift in ways that force investors to balance income, risk, and long-term equity exposure more carefully than ever.
Market sentiment can flip overnight—from euphoria to fear.
Investor optimism for a year-end rally faded as inflation worries and geopolitical shocks overtook an early burst of relief.
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At first glance, pushing higher interest rates sounds counterintuitive.
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Investors hungry for income often find themselves drawn to the PIMCO Dynamic Income Fund (PDI)—a closed-end vehicle that promises steady cash flow in a world where safe yields have rarely satisfied.
This Week at a Glance
Seasonality often gets dismissed as folklore.
In early November 2025, markets stumbled after an extraordinary tech rally.
Bond investors have discovered that “steady income” can be anything but steady.
The U.S.
Why the Index Can Be Above the 50-Day MA and Still Fragile
Capitalism depends on consumer spending, not ideology.
When markets trade on fantasy rather than fundamentals, it’s usually just a matter of time before gravity reasserts itself.
Guest: Jay Hatfield, CEO of Infrastructure Capital Advisors
October ended with a sugar rush for investors as equities hit record highs on strong Big Tech earnings and the Federal Reserve’s second consecutive rate cut.



