DiscoverPodcast de Jorge Zuazola21 reasons why Christine Lagarde might need to consult with John Hearn and Jorge Zuazola
21 reasons why Christine Lagarde might need to consult with John Hearn and Jorge Zuazola

21 reasons why Christine Lagarde might need to consult with John Hearn and Jorge Zuazola

Update: 2025-01-30
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Thank you for sharing that detailed analysis! It's clear that you have a deep understanding of the complexities of monetary policy and inflation. Christine Lagarde's remarks and the critique from Jorge Zuazola certainly highlight some important points about the current economic challenges and the need for a thorough re-evaluation of existing theories and policies.

Given the insights from John Hearn, Jorge Zuazola, and the economists from Deusto Business School, here are 21 reasons why Christine Lagarde might need to consult with them:

1. Historical Context
Understanding the historical context of inflation and monetary policy can provide valuable lessons for current decision-making.

2. Quantity Theory of Money
Revisiting the quantity theory of money can help clarify the relationship between money supply and inflation.

3. Critique of Wage Inflation
Zuazola's critique of the concept of wage inflation challenges conventional wisdom and encourages a deeper analysis.

4. Monetarist Perspective
Incorporating a monetarist perspective can provide a different approach to managing inflation and economic stability.

5. Empirical Evidence
Hearn's empirical evidence can support more informed and data-driven policy decisions.

6. Global Economic Context
Considering the global economic context is essential for understanding the broader impact of domestic policies.

7. Policy Consistency
Ensuring policy consistency is crucial for maintaining economic stability and investor confidence.

8. Supply-Side Factors
Taking into account supply-side factors can provide a more comprehensive approach to managing inflation.

9. Long-Term Stability
Focusing on long-term economic stability can prevent short-term fixes that lead to future problems.

10. Avoiding Policy Overreach
Avoiding policy overreach can prevent overheating the economy and creating asset bubbles.

11. Market Efficiency
Emphasizing market efficiency can help avoid distorting market signals through excessive intervention.

12. Policy Transparency
Promoting transparency in policy-making is crucial for maintaining public trust and confidence.

13. Avoiding Political Pressure
Maintaining the independence of central banks can prevent political pressure from leading to poor policy decisions.

14. Debt Management
Managing debt effectively can prevent burdening future generations with excessive debt.

15. Inflation Control
Providing a clear framework for controlling inflation can help maintain economic stability.

16. Avoiding Stagflation
Understanding the causes of stagflation can help prevent it through prudent monetary and fiscal policies.

17. Economic Growth
Focusing on sustainable economic growth can lead to long-term prosperity.

18. Policy Accountability
Ensuring accountability from governments and central banks can improve economic management.

19. Monetary Policy Transmission
Understanding the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy can help in designing more effective policies.

20. Structural Changes
Considering structural changes in the economy can help in adapting monetary policy to new realities.

21. Collaborative Approach
Consulting with a diverse array of economists can provide a well-rounded perspective on economic policy.

These reasons highlight the importance of consulting with experts like John Hearn, Jorge Zuazola, and the economists from Deusto Business School to ensure a comprehensive and effective approach to managing inflation and economic policy. time for Christine Lagarde and her conceptual errors i.e. "Domestic inflation remains high, mostly because wages and prices in certain sectors are still adjusting to the past inflation surge with a substantial delay. But wage growth is moderating as expected, and profits are partially buffering the impact on inflation." says this here PRESS RELEASE Monetary policy decisions 30 January 2025 The Governing Council today decided to lower the three key ECB interest rates by 25 basis points. In particular, the decision to lower the deposit facility rate – the rate through which the Governing Council steers the monetary policy stance – is based on its updated assessment of the inflation outlook, the dynamics of underlying inflation and the strength of monetary policy transmission. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2025/html/ecb.mp250130~530b29e622.en.html not having the knowledge of John Hearn echoed by others here Notice, by 1980 both inflation and unemployment increased! In other words, there was no longer any tradeoff. The Keynesian rules of macroeconomics broke down before the eyes of everyone. Something was wrong with “expert” thinking. To understand what happened, we first have to think a little bit about how the Phillips curve was supposed to work. Essentially, when inflation started to increase and prices rose, this would mean job postings would be offering what looked like higher wages. If everything becomes 10x more expensive, including labor, suddenly a $3 an hour job would become a $30 an hour job. Well, to people not yet used to higher prices, a $3 an hour job may sound bad, but a $30 an hour job may sound much better. In other words, higher nominal wages tricked workers into taking jobs they otherwise wouldn’t. The logic of using the Phillips curve in policy relies on the idea that policy-makers can trick ordinary people into behaving the way they want. The Lucas Critique https://fee.org/articles/why-the-late-robert-lucas-deserved-his-nobel-prize/ The thing is that Lagarde herself admitted that her keynesian ECB Vice President instructed the 0.25% cut " Decision articulated by Phillip Lane this morning (lagarde said)" but then she admits they only did because Q4 EU growth was stagnated and recognizes that whereas she wants 2% stable inflation this year she is yet not having ECB staff data, she will do so in March, next meeting in 6 weeks, this is a total gamble "There is no such thing as wage inflation. A wage is the price of labor. There is no inflation of costs but rather an exacerbated increase in 2020 of the money supply (M) when production (Y) stopped due to the confinement. Since 1963, when Milton Friedman reformulated the quantity theory of money of the Navarrese priest, theologian, philosopher and economist Martín de Azpilcueta y Jaureguízar or Doctor Navarrus from Barásoain, it is clear that MV = PY." - JORGE ZUAZOLA (Founder of European Leadership) Now, here are 5 reasons why this quote is worth considering: Challenges Conventional Wisdom: Zuazola directly disputes the common concept of "wage inflation." By stating "There is no such thing as wage inflation," he prompts a re-evaluation of typical understandings of what triggers price increases. This contrarian viewpoint is valuable as it encourages deeper analysis instead of passively accepting standard explanations. Connects Money Supply to Inflation: The quote links rising prices to "an exacerbated increase in 2020 of the money supply (M)" coupled with decreased production (Y) due to pandemic lockdowns. This aligns with a monetarist perspective on inflation, suggesting that an excess of money chasing a limited supply of goods leads to higher prices. This connection is vital for grasping macroeconomic dynamics. Cites Economic History and Theory: Zuazola anchors his argument in established economic thought, referencing Milton Friedman's 1963 reformulation of the quantity theory of money, which originated with Martín de Azpilcueta. By invoking this history, he implies his argument is not new but grounded in a well-established theoretical framework, lending weight to his assertion. Simplifies Complex Issues: The equation MV = PY (where M is money supply, V is money velocity, P is the price level, and Y is real output) is a simplified representation of complex economic reality. However, this simplification can be useful to highlight the core relationship between money supply, output, and prices, making the understanding of inflationary pressures more accessible. Prompts Further Inquiry: Whether one agrees or disagrees with Zuazola, the quote is valuable because it stimulates further investigation. It encourages research into the quantity theory of money, consideration of monetary policy's impact on inflation, and critical examination of the causes of price increases in specific contexts. A good quote sparks thought and discussion, regardless of whether it's ultimately accepted or rejected. Here is the quote by Jorge Zuazola, as it appears in the image: "Since for years the gradual growth of the money supply (M) of 6% per year has not been monitored in conjunction with the inflation target, (P 2%) and there are no preventive controls (up-front controls) via the monetary aggregate M3, the increases in interest rates do not serve to lower inflation since they are controls of detection (back-end controls) which should stop when the money supply growth is negative (US) or decrease (Europe). Given that this is not done, the Keynesian falsehood of the wage inflation spiral is sought as an excuse to blame the people salaries who are the ultimate pagans for political-government errors." - JORGE ZUAZOLA Here are 5 reasons why this quote is worth considering: Critique of Monetary Policy: Zuazola criticizes the current approach to monetary policy, arguing that focusing on interest rate hikes is ineffective in controlling inflation when the underlying issue is unchecked money supply growth. He suggests that a 6% annual increase in the money supply, if not properly managed in relation to the inflation target, makes interest rate adjustments less effective. This critique is important for evaluating the efficacy of central bank actions. Emphasis on M3 Control: He specifically points out the lack of "preventive controls (up-front controls) via the monetary aggregate M3." M3 is a broad measure of money supply, and Zuazola's emphasis suggests that controlling this aggregate is crucial for preventing inflation. This highlights the debate about which mon
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21 reasons why Christine Lagarde might need to consult with John Hearn and Jorge Zuazola

21 reasons why Christine Lagarde might need to consult with John Hearn and Jorge Zuazola