Tom Graff notes that the small segment of AI created all the GDP growth of the first half of the year. He says the question for the economy will be if that can continue, or if it will fall off. He says that hiring conditions look like what always happens before a recession – and he’s skeptical of any “this time is different” argument. AI needs to start making some money, he emphasizes: “there’s not a lot of room for error.”

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