Is Meta Stock a Buy Right Now? Deep Dive Into Fundamentals, AI Spending & The Perfect Entry Levels (META Analysis)
Description
Is This the Time to Buy Meta Stock? My Full Breakdown
Meta Platforms (META) has pulled back sharply from its highs, dropping from above $800 to around $640. The big question every investor is asking:
Is this the perfect buying opportunity—or a warning sign?Today, we break down the fundamentals, technicals, AI investment strategy, valuation, and long-term thesis to determine whether META deserves a place in your portfolio.
🔍 1. META Q3 Earnings — Still a Cashflow Monster
Meta’s latest report reconfirmed its financial dominance:
* Revenue: +26% YoY
* DAUs: 3.27 Billion (+7%) — half of Earth uses Meta apps daily
* Operating Margin: 40% (major pricing power)
* Cash Reserve: $44 Billion
Meta’s family of apps (Facebook, Instagram, Reels, WhatsApp) continues to scale globally with almost no real competition outside TikTok. And because TikTok is not a public company, the real numbers are uncertain.
This is a moat, and a big one.
🚨 2. Why the Stock Dropped – The Bear Case
Meta’s 11% post-earnings drop wasn’t due to revenue or profit.It was because of increased AI capital expenditures.
Meta expects:
* $70–$72B in CapEx for 2025
* Continuation of heavy investment into 2026
Short-term investors saw this as a negative.Long-term investors should see this as a massive opportunity.
Why? Because:
AI needs compute. Compute needs data centers.Data centers need investment.
Meta is building the backbone of the next decade.
🤖 3. The Bull Case — Meta Is Building the Next Computing Platform
Mark Zuckerberg is placing Meta as a leader in:
* AI ad optimization
* Generative AI tools
* Next-gen infrastructure
* AR glasses & hardware
* Advanced on-device AI
Meta must invest to compete with Apple and Google—both of whom already have devices. Meta needs a hardware ecosystem, and these investments show they know it.
This is not frivolous spending.This is Amazon 2010 AWS energy.
💹 4. Wall Street Price Targets & Analyst Views
* 12-month target: $839
* Long-term upside: Very strong
* Bear case: Only –5.86% downside
* Extreme bull case: $1,100 (rare, but possible)
Sentiment remains overwhelmingly Buy.
📉 5. Technical Analysis — The Perfect Buy Zones
Meta is sitting right at the golden Fibonacci retracement zone:61.78% — the “Goldilocks Zone” for strong companies.
Key levels:
* Current price: ~$640
* Immediate support: $633
* Major support: $560
* Dream buy zone: $480–$560
* Long-term uptrend intact
Meta hasn’t even retested the April lows of $541.This relative strength is extremely bullish.
RSI & MACD:
* RSI bounced off oversold levels
* MACD triggered a fresh buy signal
This is exactly how long-term reversals start.
🧠 6. So Is META a Buy Right Now?
My conclusion:
⭐ Meta is a Buy — with caution and strategy.
The stock is transitioning from high-growth tech into a cash-generating giant with massive AI optionality.
Best approach:
* Start a small position now (not financial advice)
* Hold dry powder
* DCA into dips at $600 / $580 / $560
* If it hits $480, load up (cautiously)
For a 3–5 year investment horizon, this setup is excellent.
📌 Tickers Mentioned in This Analysis
* META – Meta Platforms
* AAPL – Apple
* GOOGL – Alphabet / Google
📢 Final Thoughts
Meta is not the hyped tech stock of the past—it is becoming one of the strongest compounders of the next decade.
Innovation scares the market short-term.Innovation builds generational wealth long-term.
What do you think? Drop your comments.
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