Polling is for Suckers - Ep 24-483
Update: 2024-12-11
Description
[SEGMENT 1-1] Future of Polling 1 [X] SB – Jon Stewart on pollsters That one pollster quit. She was embarrassed into obscurity.
[SEGMENT 1-2] Future of Polling 2 [X] SB – Fox News on Ann Seltzer’s IA poll Trump won by 13 pts She knew what she was doing. Quitting. Puzzled by the greatest miss of her career My hope is to continue to drive home the fact that the experts are NOT experts.
[SEGMENT 1-3] Future of Polling 3 - Biden the worst Would you be shocked to learn that Americans now view Joe Biden as the worst president of the last nine? Of course not—unless you're as disconnected from reality as Biden himself or his dwindling pool of supporters. The idea of "81 million votes" now feels as believable as a fair game of three-card monte on a New York City sidewalk. Biden may have ridden into office on the crest of an alleged "historic mandate," but history seems to have had the last laugh. Let’s set the stage for this train wreck. According to an exclusive Daily Mail poll, Biden has managed to plummet past even the least flattering benchmarks of modern presidencies. The voters have spoken, and their verdict is devastating: Biden ranks dead last among the nine most recent presidents. Yes, worse than Nixon, who resigned in disgrace after Watergate. Worse than Jimmy Carter, whose presidency was defined by skyrocketing inflation and the Iran hostage crisis. Worse than every other president you could name—and you’d have to work pretty hard to find another to match this level of public disdain. Hard to believe why it took so long for Democrats to impose the fatwa on Joe that eventually took him out less than 90 days before his ass-kicking by Trump. Laughably, Biden gets to keep his consolation prize of pretending to believe he beat Trump in 2020. Here’s the breakdown of the poll: 44% of voters placed Biden in the bottom two, while only a meager 14% saw him as one of the best two. The result? A net score of -30, which buries him below Nixon (-25) and even Donald Trump (-15), who Leftist want to believe is a divisive figure. James Johnson of J.L. Partners, the group behind the poll, didn’t mince words, calling the results "diabolical." I’d call them a public performance review so bad it should come with a pink slip.
From 81 Million Votes to Bottom of the Barrel Remember, Biden’s presidency began with that alleged record-breaking 81.2 million votes, surpassing even Obama (Baby Black Jesus) during his peak popularity? Well, it didn’t take long for the wheels to fall off the Biden express. Voters were told Biden would "heal the soul of America"—a vague slogan that feels as ironic of Biden "bringing decency to the White House". Biden's presidency has been a highlight reel of legislative blunders, geopolitical missteps, and the kind of verbal gaffes that would make even the most forgiving of public speakers cringe. Inflation spiraled out of control, the southern border became a sieve, Afghanistan collapsed in a catastrophic withdrawal, and his administration championed economic policies that have left Americans wondering if we’re all trapped in a decades-long rerun of The Jimmy Carter Show.
Lies, Lies, and More Lies Biden’s downfall isn’t just about bad policies or poor results. It’s about the lies. From tales of his supposed civil rights activism to his fictitious encounters with Amtrak employees, Biden’s fabrications are legendary. His latest scandal—the controversy surrounding his son's legal troubles—might just be the final nail in his political coffin. Let’s not mince words: the Hunter Biden saga is the kind of ethical quagmire that would sink any other politician. Biden’s deflection, obfuscation, and refusal to come clean about his role in his son’s legal woes have turned a bad situation into a full-blown debacle. His pardon of Hunter was a move so tone-deaf it would make Nero fiddling while Rome burned look like a masterstroke of PR strategy.
Biden vs. the Big Picture So, what does this all tell us? Simply put, Biden’s presidency is a cautionary tale of what happens when you ignore merit in favor of narratives. He ascended to office as the "anti-Trump," a figurehead for unity, empathy, and stability. Instead, we got a leader whose performance has left Americans more divided, anxious, and skeptical of government than ever before. The poll results reflect this deep dissatisfaction, with voters saying, loud and clear, that they’ve had enough. Clearly, Biden’s legacy will not be one of healing or leadership. Instead, he will likely be remembered as the president who squandered his so-called mandate, mismanaged crises at every turn, and alienated the very people he promised to serve. From legislative failures to moral lapses, Biden has managed to become a punchline in his own tragic comedy. The bottom line? Biden’s presidency is a masterclass in how far a politician can fall—and how fast. Whether through incompetence, dishonesty, or sheer hubris, Biden has managed to turn "the most votes in history" into the most dismal presidency in recent memory. As for his supporters? Even they must feel like they’ve been left holding a very empty bag. History will one day move Biden from the worst of 9 presidents to the worst president ever.
[SEGMENT 1-4] Future of polling 4 In the wake of the 2024 Presidential Election, I am reminded of the battleground scene from Gladiator. After the Romans defeat the Germanic tribe, the soldiers are moaning in the field and Roman soldiers are putting the wounded foe out of their misery. Prior to the battle, one of General Maximus asked him, “Do they not know they are defeated?”. Maximus responds, “Would you?” Well not if they had the pollsters from this election cycle. It was so bad, that Jon Stewart ridiculed them on Comedy Central. Look at the number of people who guaranteed that Harris would win, and win big. [X] SB – Jon Stewart on polling These pollsters are as reliable as medical guidance from Anthony Fauci. How can you miss so badly on polls? The answer is simple. The pollsters polled for what they wanted and not for actual public sentiment. Many Democrats thought that abortion would be the issue that united their party. But consider the folly of this argument from a commonsense perspective. First, let’s pretend that the country is equally divided between Right and Left. So half of the country is pro-life, or at the very least pro-choice pro-lifers, and the other half love killing babies in the womb. Doing the math, half of the country has abortion way down the list of their priorities. Thus, Democrats immediately lose 50 percent of the country. Next, of the half of the country who might see abortion as an issue, half of them are (questionably) men. And while these eunuchs may publicly agree with their significant others, many of them are just fronting. They play this game to not rock the boat, and pretend to be as “woke” as their counterparts. However, many of them waged a protest vote against their mates in an effort to gain back some portion of their masculinity. How do I know I’m right? Post-election discussions by many pundits validate me. Many pundits have said that Democrats put too much weight on the abortion issue. And what about “woke”? In response to the abortion issue and the unending drumbeat of social justice issues, Democrat political strategist, James Carville who wrongly predicted a Harris win actually said publicly that Leftist women are the reason many men moved away from the Democrats. Please find Carville’s quote with reference I believe in my heart that Carville knew Harris would lose, despite his article in the New York Times about the 3 Reasons Harris Will Win. Pollsters are like Blockbuster in the age of Netflix—stuck in the past. Trump showed up with a digital flamethrower and burned their “methodologies” to ash. And what did the pollsters do? Learned their lesson? Nope. They doubled down, like an ex who still thinks their mixtape will win you back. Polling as a Tool of Manipulation Here’s the game: A poll comes out saying, “52% of people hate Trump.” What happens next?
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-kevin-jackson-show--2896352/support.
[SEGMENT 1-2] Future of Polling 2 [X] SB – Fox News on Ann Seltzer’s IA poll Trump won by 13 pts She knew what she was doing. Quitting. Puzzled by the greatest miss of her career My hope is to continue to drive home the fact that the experts are NOT experts.
[SEGMENT 1-3] Future of Polling 3 - Biden the worst Would you be shocked to learn that Americans now view Joe Biden as the worst president of the last nine? Of course not—unless you're as disconnected from reality as Biden himself or his dwindling pool of supporters. The idea of "81 million votes" now feels as believable as a fair game of three-card monte on a New York City sidewalk. Biden may have ridden into office on the crest of an alleged "historic mandate," but history seems to have had the last laugh. Let’s set the stage for this train wreck. According to an exclusive Daily Mail poll, Biden has managed to plummet past even the least flattering benchmarks of modern presidencies. The voters have spoken, and their verdict is devastating: Biden ranks dead last among the nine most recent presidents. Yes, worse than Nixon, who resigned in disgrace after Watergate. Worse than Jimmy Carter, whose presidency was defined by skyrocketing inflation and the Iran hostage crisis. Worse than every other president you could name—and you’d have to work pretty hard to find another to match this level of public disdain. Hard to believe why it took so long for Democrats to impose the fatwa on Joe that eventually took him out less than 90 days before his ass-kicking by Trump. Laughably, Biden gets to keep his consolation prize of pretending to believe he beat Trump in 2020. Here’s the breakdown of the poll: 44% of voters placed Biden in the bottom two, while only a meager 14% saw him as one of the best two. The result? A net score of -30, which buries him below Nixon (-25) and even Donald Trump (-15), who Leftist want to believe is a divisive figure. James Johnson of J.L. Partners, the group behind the poll, didn’t mince words, calling the results "diabolical." I’d call them a public performance review so bad it should come with a pink slip.
From 81 Million Votes to Bottom of the Barrel Remember, Biden’s presidency began with that alleged record-breaking 81.2 million votes, surpassing even Obama (Baby Black Jesus) during his peak popularity? Well, it didn’t take long for the wheels to fall off the Biden express. Voters were told Biden would "heal the soul of America"—a vague slogan that feels as ironic of Biden "bringing decency to the White House". Biden's presidency has been a highlight reel of legislative blunders, geopolitical missteps, and the kind of verbal gaffes that would make even the most forgiving of public speakers cringe. Inflation spiraled out of control, the southern border became a sieve, Afghanistan collapsed in a catastrophic withdrawal, and his administration championed economic policies that have left Americans wondering if we’re all trapped in a decades-long rerun of The Jimmy Carter Show.
Lies, Lies, and More Lies Biden’s downfall isn’t just about bad policies or poor results. It’s about the lies. From tales of his supposed civil rights activism to his fictitious encounters with Amtrak employees, Biden’s fabrications are legendary. His latest scandal—the controversy surrounding his son's legal troubles—might just be the final nail in his political coffin. Let’s not mince words: the Hunter Biden saga is the kind of ethical quagmire that would sink any other politician. Biden’s deflection, obfuscation, and refusal to come clean about his role in his son’s legal woes have turned a bad situation into a full-blown debacle. His pardon of Hunter was a move so tone-deaf it would make Nero fiddling while Rome burned look like a masterstroke of PR strategy.
Biden vs. the Big Picture So, what does this all tell us? Simply put, Biden’s presidency is a cautionary tale of what happens when you ignore merit in favor of narratives. He ascended to office as the "anti-Trump," a figurehead for unity, empathy, and stability. Instead, we got a leader whose performance has left Americans more divided, anxious, and skeptical of government than ever before. The poll results reflect this deep dissatisfaction, with voters saying, loud and clear, that they’ve had enough. Clearly, Biden’s legacy will not be one of healing or leadership. Instead, he will likely be remembered as the president who squandered his so-called mandate, mismanaged crises at every turn, and alienated the very people he promised to serve. From legislative failures to moral lapses, Biden has managed to become a punchline in his own tragic comedy. The bottom line? Biden’s presidency is a masterclass in how far a politician can fall—and how fast. Whether through incompetence, dishonesty, or sheer hubris, Biden has managed to turn "the most votes in history" into the most dismal presidency in recent memory. As for his supporters? Even they must feel like they’ve been left holding a very empty bag. History will one day move Biden from the worst of 9 presidents to the worst president ever.
[SEGMENT 1-4] Future of polling 4 In the wake of the 2024 Presidential Election, I am reminded of the battleground scene from Gladiator. After the Romans defeat the Germanic tribe, the soldiers are moaning in the field and Roman soldiers are putting the wounded foe out of their misery. Prior to the battle, one of General Maximus asked him, “Do they not know they are defeated?”. Maximus responds, “Would you?” Well not if they had the pollsters from this election cycle. It was so bad, that Jon Stewart ridiculed them on Comedy Central. Look at the number of people who guaranteed that Harris would win, and win big. [X] SB – Jon Stewart on polling These pollsters are as reliable as medical guidance from Anthony Fauci. How can you miss so badly on polls? The answer is simple. The pollsters polled for what they wanted and not for actual public sentiment. Many Democrats thought that abortion would be the issue that united their party. But consider the folly of this argument from a commonsense perspective. First, let’s pretend that the country is equally divided between Right and Left. So half of the country is pro-life, or at the very least pro-choice pro-lifers, and the other half love killing babies in the womb. Doing the math, half of the country has abortion way down the list of their priorities. Thus, Democrats immediately lose 50 percent of the country. Next, of the half of the country who might see abortion as an issue, half of them are (questionably) men. And while these eunuchs may publicly agree with their significant others, many of them are just fronting. They play this game to not rock the boat, and pretend to be as “woke” as their counterparts. However, many of them waged a protest vote against their mates in an effort to gain back some portion of their masculinity. How do I know I’m right? Post-election discussions by many pundits validate me. Many pundits have said that Democrats put too much weight on the abortion issue. And what about “woke”? In response to the abortion issue and the unending drumbeat of social justice issues, Democrat political strategist, James Carville who wrongly predicted a Harris win actually said publicly that Leftist women are the reason many men moved away from the Democrats. Please find Carville’s quote with reference I believe in my heart that Carville knew Harris would lose, despite his article in the New York Times about the 3 Reasons Harris Will Win. Pollsters are like Blockbuster in the age of Netflix—stuck in the past. Trump showed up with a digital flamethrower and burned their “methodologies” to ash. And what did the pollsters do? Learned their lesson? Nope. They doubled down, like an ex who still thinks their mixtape will win you back. Polling as a Tool of Manipulation Here’s the game: A poll comes out saying, “52% of people hate Trump.” What happens next?
- Trump supporters: “That’s ridiculous. Did you see the rallies?!”
- Leftists: “See? We told you the election was rigged!”
- “82% of Americans trust the vaccine!”
- Two weeks later: “Well, 67% think it’s okay.”
- Now: “Hey, at least 42% of you aren’t suing yet!”
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-kevin-jackson-show--2896352/support.
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