Ranked: The Fastest Shrinking Jobs in America by 2034
Description
Ranked: The Fastest Shrinking Jobs in America by 2034
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Key Takeaways
- Routine clerical roles like data entry clerks and payroll clerks are projected to see some of the steepest percentage declines due to automation.
- Customer-facing jobs such as cashiers and bank tellers are among the largest absolute job losses, reflecting the shift to digital self-serve technologies.
America’s labor market is undergoing a transformation as automation, artificial intelligence, and digitalization reshape the workplace.
To see where technology will have the most impact, we’ve visualized the fastest shrinking jobs in America by 2034, based on projections from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Data & Discussion
This data comes from the BLS Employment Projections (EP) program, which projects employment changes across hundreds of occupations from 2024 to 2034.
In our graphic, the fastest shrinking jobs are ranked by their absolute losses, with percentage declines included for context.
| Occupation | Employment change (%) | Employment change |
|---|---|---|
 Cashiers | -9.9% | -313,600 |
 Office clerks | -6.7% | -177,800 |
 Customer service reps | -5.5% | -153,700 |
 Accounting & auditing clerks | -5.8% | -94,300 |
 Fast food cooks | -13.5% | -90,300 |
 Retail supervisors | -5% | -72,300 |
 Inventory clerks | -7.7% | -66,300 |
 Bank tellers | -12.9% | -44,900 |
 Data entry clerk | -25.9% | -36,700 |
| Hand packers | -5.4% | -32,200 |
 Food prep workers | -3.4% | -30,900 |
 Secretaries (excl. legal and medical) | -1.6% | -30,800 |
 Correctional officers | -7.8% | -30,100 |
 Childcare workers | -2.9% | -29,200 |
 Elementary school teachers | -2% | -27,900 |
 Payroll clerks | -16.7% | -27,000 |
 Computer support specialists | -3.7% | -27,000 |
 Metalworking machine operators | -12.1% | -21,100 |
 Teaching assistants (excl. post-secondary) | -1.5% | -21,100 |
 Retail salespersons | -0.5% | -19,600 |
 Survey interviewers | -11.6% | -19,100 |
 Computer numerically controlled tool operators | -10.7% | -19,000 |
 Claims adjusters & investigators | -5.1% | -18,200 |
 Office & administrative support workers | -7.8% | -18,100 |
 Secondary school teachers | -1.6% | -17,800 |
