Record Cash Flows + AI Demand: Commodities Set to Surge
Description
Recording date: 14th November 2025
The precious metals sector is experiencing a convergence of favorable conditions that veteran investors describe as one of the best commodity setups in decades. At the recent Precious Metals Summit in Zurich, industry leaders including Pierre Lassonde, Frank Giustra, and Marc Faber highlighted observable market fundamentals supporting this outlook: global liquidity at record highs, structural demand emerging from technological infrastructure, and mining companies generating unprecedented cash flows while trading at reasonable valuations.
Global liquidity continues expanding despite recent volatility. The People's Bank of China maintains liquidity injections, while the New York Fed has announced plans for substantial liquidity injection into US markets during Q1 2026. The recent government shutdown ending will release capital trapped in the treasury system for over a month. This liquidity expansion creates sustained support for precious metals as fiat currency purchasing power deteriorates.
A less obvious but transformative demand driver emerges from artificial intelligence infrastructure development. The US needs to build at least 350 gigawatts of power dedicated to AI infrastructure—equivalent to 50 nuclear power plants—representing a trillion-dollar investment cycle for power generation alone. This excludes electrical grids, transmission infrastructure, and computing hardware. Recent government partnerships with Brookfield, Cameco, and Westinghouse for nuclear facility development signal the beginning of infrastructure spending requiring massive copper, steel, and concrete quantities while necessitating continued government liquidity injection supportive of gold prices.
Third quarter 2025 results demonstrated the financial leverage inherent in gold mining operations. AngloGold Ashanti increased quarterly operating cash flow from $300 million to $1.4 billion—more than quadrupling while gold prices doubled. Even accounting for the Centamin acquisition contributing 20% of production, cash flow expansion significantly exceeds gold price appreciation. The company now operates with zero net debt, increased dividends, and strategic flexibility for acquisitions or capital returns while trading at roughly half the valuation of Agnico Eagle Mines despite comparable cash generation.
K92 Mining offers equally compelling value, posting six consecutive quarters of free cash flow while organically funding construction of a complete new mill, twin declines, and associated infrastructure. The Phase 3 expansion completing commissioning in Q4 2025 will drive significant cash flow growth as throughput increases with minimal incremental operating costs. Operating costs scale favorably—an 800 tonne per day mill requires similar oversight as a 3,000 tonne per day mill. Market valuations have not yet reflected this coming cash flow expansion, creating opportunity for investors who understand the timeline and trust management execution.
The M&A cycle is accelerating as producers with pristine balance sheets deploy capital. Recent examples include B2 Gold taking a 19.9% stake in Prospector Generator (now funded with $40 million for 2026 exploration), Probe Gold's acquisition, New Gold's pending takeover, and Gold Fields committing $50 million to junior investments. The competition for quality assets remains in early stages despite this activity.
Investment opportunities span the market capitalization spectrum: established producers generating record profits at reasonable valuations, funded developers approaching major cash flow inflections, and well-backed exploration companies positioned for discoveries. Current Q4 volatility represents tactical entry opportunities before typical Q1 seasonal strength, with multiple fundamental drivers supporting sustained outperformance of real assets over the coming decade.
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