Weeknight chaos = profit. We’re breaking down every MAC, AAC, Sun Belt, Big 12, and Big Ten matchup from Tuesday to Friday with actionable angles, efficiency edges, and ATS leans you can use before kickoff. From Akron–UMass and Miami (OH)–Ohio in a pivotal MAC race, to Kent State–Ball State and NIU–Toledo on Wednesday, we spotlight pace, success rate, PPA margin, and finishing-drives metrics that actually move spreads.

Thursday turns spicy: Georgia Southern–App State rivalry vibes and UTSA–USF where the Bulls’ explosive ground game meets a boom-or-bust Roadrunner defense. Friday closes with Houston–UCF in a short-week test of discipline and special teams, Northwestern–USC at the Coliseum where the Trojans’ run game should separate, and Tulane–Memphis with AAC stakes and a Tiger second-half surge trend.

Topics covered: betting picks and lines, MACtion trends, rushing explosiveness, defensive success rate, red-zone/points-per-scoring-opportunity, turnover margin, and strength-of-schedule context—plus where the numbers disagree with the market.

• 1:03 UMass vs Akron
• 4:44 Miami (OH) vs Ohio
• 9:24 Kent State vs Ball State
• 13:10 Northern Illinois vs Toledo
• 17:30 Georgia Southern vs App State
• 22:48 UTSA vs South Florida
• 28:48 Houston vs UCF
• 35:03 Northwestern vs USC
• 41:03 Tulane vs Memphis

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