“If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies, a semi-outsider review” by dvd
Description
About me and this review: I don’t identify as a member of the rationalist community, and I haven’t thought much about AI risk. I read AstralCodexTen and used to read Zvi Mowshowitz before he switched his blog to covering AI. Thus, I’ve long had a peripheral familiarity with LessWrong. I picked up IABIED in response to Scott Alexander's review, and ended up looking here to see what reactions were like. After encountering a number of posts wondering how outsiders were responding to the book, I thought it might be valuable for me to write mine down. This is a “semi-outsider “review in that I don’t identify as a member of this community, but I’m not a true outsider in that I was familiar enough with it to post here. My own background is in academic social science and national security, for whatever that's worth. My review presumes you’re already [...]
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Outline:
(01:07 ) My loose priors going in:
(02:29 ) To skip ahead to my posteriors:
(03:45 ) On to the Review:
(08:14 ) My questions and concerns
(08:33 ) Concern #1 Why should we assume the AI wants to survive? If it does, then what exactly wants to survive?
(12:44 ) Concern #2 Why should we assume that the AI has boundless, coherent drives?
(17:57 ) #3: Why should we assume there will be no in between?
(21:53 ) The Solution
(23:35 ) Closing Thoughts
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First published:
October 13th, 2025
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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.