Gennady Stolyarov II - The Technological Singularity
Update: 2024-03-07
Description
The Technological Singularity is an event-horizon created by accelerating change that makes future predictions impossible - or does it? Gennady Stolyarov II discusses his remarkable vision of the Singularity, and explains why this isn't humanity's first such event, and likely won't be our last.
Stolyarov views the Singularity as John Von Neumann did, and from this perspective claims we've already had 3 historical technological singularities: the agricultural revolution, the industrial revolution, and the information revolution.
Based on advances in computing power, Vernor Vinge estimated the Singularity would happen between between 2005 and 2030. Eliezer Yukowsky predicted 2021, Ray Kurzweil said 2045, and recent polls by Nick Bostrom and Vincent C. Müller estimate a 2040 to 2050 timeframe.
In terms of what comes next, Futurists like Ray Kurzweil have focused heavily on Artificial Intelligence and self-improvement AI Superintelligence, but Stolyarov believes this is only one component of a much larger change, and the Singularity itself will be the product of a massive convergence of technological change, not one specific breakthrough.
Gennady Stolyarov II is an actuary, philosopher, science-fiction novelist, poet, amateur mathematician, composer, and Editor-in-Chief of The Rational Argumentator, Chairman of the US Transhumanist Party, and Chief Executive of the Nevada Transhumanist Party, which he helped to found.
Gennady is the author of "Death is Wrong", an ambitious children’s book on life extension. He's also contributed numerous articles to the Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies, The Wave Chronicle, Brighter Brains Institute, Immortal Life, Enter Stage Right, Rebirth of Reason, The Liberal Institute, and several other notable publications.
Gennady holds a number of professional designations in the insurance, actuarial, regulatory & compliance industries, and is the author of numerous well-known actuarial study guides, including "Practice Problems in Advanced Topics in General Insurance", along with the science-fiction novel, "Eden against the Colossus", a philosophical treatise "A Rational Cosmology", the play "Implied Consent", and a self-help treatise, "The Best Self-Help is Free".
LINKS & RESOURCES:
Technological Singularity
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity
The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence
https://www.amazon.com/Age-of-Spiritual-Machines-audiobook/dp/B000OYDNBA
The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology
https://www.amazon.com/Singularity-Near-Humans-Transcend-Biology/dp/0143037889
US Transhumanist Party
https://transhumanist-party.org/
Death is Wrong (Amazon)
https://www.amazon.com/Death-Wrong-Gennady-Stolyarov-II/dp/0615932045
Gennady Stolyarov (Wikipedia)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gennady_Stolyarov_II
Gennady Stolyarov (LinkedIn)
https://www.linkedin.com/in/gennady-stolyarov-ii-6995077/
U.S. Transhumanist Party Virtual Enlightenment Salon with the OmniFuturists – January 28, 2024
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rHIpd4_Hauc&t=614s
Stolyarov views the Singularity as John Von Neumann did, and from this perspective claims we've already had 3 historical technological singularities: the agricultural revolution, the industrial revolution, and the information revolution.
Based on advances in computing power, Vernor Vinge estimated the Singularity would happen between between 2005 and 2030. Eliezer Yukowsky predicted 2021, Ray Kurzweil said 2045, and recent polls by Nick Bostrom and Vincent C. Müller estimate a 2040 to 2050 timeframe.
In terms of what comes next, Futurists like Ray Kurzweil have focused heavily on Artificial Intelligence and self-improvement AI Superintelligence, but Stolyarov believes this is only one component of a much larger change, and the Singularity itself will be the product of a massive convergence of technological change, not one specific breakthrough.
Gennady Stolyarov II is an actuary, philosopher, science-fiction novelist, poet, amateur mathematician, composer, and Editor-in-Chief of The Rational Argumentator, Chairman of the US Transhumanist Party, and Chief Executive of the Nevada Transhumanist Party, which he helped to found.
Gennady is the author of "Death is Wrong", an ambitious children’s book on life extension. He's also contributed numerous articles to the Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies, The Wave Chronicle, Brighter Brains Institute, Immortal Life, Enter Stage Right, Rebirth of Reason, The Liberal Institute, and several other notable publications.
Gennady holds a number of professional designations in the insurance, actuarial, regulatory & compliance industries, and is the author of numerous well-known actuarial study guides, including "Practice Problems in Advanced Topics in General Insurance", along with the science-fiction novel, "Eden against the Colossus", a philosophical treatise "A Rational Cosmology", the play "Implied Consent", and a self-help treatise, "The Best Self-Help is Free".
LINKS & RESOURCES:
Technological Singularity
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity
The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence
https://www.amazon.com/Age-of-Spiritual-Machines-audiobook/dp/B000OYDNBA
The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology
https://www.amazon.com/Singularity-Near-Humans-Transcend-Biology/dp/0143037889
US Transhumanist Party
https://transhumanist-party.org/
Death is Wrong (Amazon)
https://www.amazon.com/Death-Wrong-Gennady-Stolyarov-II/dp/0615932045
Gennady Stolyarov (Wikipedia)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gennady_Stolyarov_II
Gennady Stolyarov (LinkedIn)
https://www.linkedin.com/in/gennady-stolyarov-ii-6995077/
U.S. Transhumanist Party Virtual Enlightenment Salon with the OmniFuturists – January 28, 2024
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rHIpd4_Hauc&t=614s
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