Welcome to India Tariff News and Tracker, where we deliver the latest developments shaping US-India trade and tariffs.

For listeners looking for fresh updates, a pivotal headline today is the ongoing debate over US tariff rates on Indian goods under the Trump administration. According to CNBC-TV18, the current US tariff rate on imports from India stands at a steep 50 percent, making India one of the most impacted countries alongside Brazil. However, there’s growing optimism that these tariffs could come down to below 25 percent, with leading strategists suggesting we may be close to a breakthrough trade deal heading into 2026. The Trump administration is known for starting negotiations with high tariffs as leverage, later unwinding them in pursuit of agreements—a pattern seen previously with China, the EU, and other partners. Analysts now expect India could finally benefit from a reduction in rates after a significant period of underperformance and currency depreciation in response to trade tension.

Turning to specific categories, Hindustan Times recently reported a positive development for Indian farmers and exporters. President Trump granted new exemptions on select food products. This move specifically benefits Indian exports of tea, coffee, spices, and cashew nuts—which had been hit hard by the original 50 percent tariffs. These exemptions are expected to boost agricultural export revenues, especially for smallholder farmers who rely on US markets for their livelihood.

Market experts, speaking at the 2025 CLSA India Forum, highlighted how the drawn-out negotiations for a US-India trade deal have weighed on Indian equities and foreign investment flows. Despite these challenges, Indian equities remain an overweight allocation for some global investors, who see the potential for a significant sector rotation as tariffs ease and trade relations recover.

Listeners should note that inflation risks and credit concerns in the US economy may affect trade policy going forward. President Trump’s tweets indicate he’s aware of rising inflation and consumers feeling the pinch from tariffs, with some pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut rates as household and government debt levels climb. These macroeconomic pressures impact negotiations, making the tariff reduction both a trade and domestic policy priority in Washington.

As we track developments over the coming weeks, the consensus is growing that a US-India trade deal may finally be in sight, promising tariff relief and renewed investor confidence for India heading into 2026.

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