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World Weather, Inc. Daily Ag Market Weather (audio)

World Weather, Inc. Daily Ag Market Weather (audio)
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Weather is one of the top most influential features in daily commodity futures trading. It is also the most important consideration for food company's making purchasing commitments and farmers to determine hedge positions and planting decisions. World Weather, Inc. has 73 years of combined agricultural world weather forecasting experience and its staff has been supporting the commodity futures trade since 1979. This daily podcast will provide insight to the day's most important weather issues influencing world market trading. It is designed to discuss all of the most important weather-related issues of the day and will help explain how those weather issues will influence production and help the listener make better business decisions whether in the commodity futures market or out of it.
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HIGHLIGHTS IN THIS VIDEO
A quick review of the coming North America high pressure ridge
Who will be dry and who will be wet
bottom line is that the Midwest will remain in good shape while dryness becomes significant in the central and southern Plains, Delta and southern Tennessee River Basin as well as far southwestern Corn and Soybean areas of Kansas and Missouri
World Weather Review
Canada Prairies commentary
Tropical weather discussion for western Pacific and potential impact on China, Philippines and Japan
Past Weather Review
Not much change in the rest of the world
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JULY 18, 2025
Cold air in the far eastern Russia New Lands early next week may result in some frost in sunseed and spring wheat production areas
Southern China may be impacted by a tropical cyclone this weekend with heavy rain, local flooding and some strong wind speeds likely in Guangdong, Guangxi and Hainan
There is some potential for the storm to also impact northern Vietnam early next week
East-central China will not get much rain through the coming week and some drying and rising crop stress is possible in pockets, but no widespread production threat is expected
NOT MUCH CHANGE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORLD
Some needed rain will fall in Western Europe this weekend and early next week offering some relief to dryness in parts of France, the U.K., Germany, Belgium and Netherlands, although more rain will still be needed
Dryness will remain in the lower Danube River Basin
Not much rain from eastern Ukraine into Kazakhstan during the next two weeks which may lead to unirrigated summer crop stress, but winter crop harvesting will advance well
Dry weather has been occurring and will continue for at least another week in western Indonesia and the Malay Peninsula
Some drying is normal at this time of year and showers may return in the last days of July for parts of the region
Central Thailand rainfall may continue lighter than usual as it has been recently and greater rain will soon be needed for rice, sugarcane and other crops
North America weather has not changed much overnight
Very warm to hot temperatures are likely in the central and southern Plains, Delta, lower Midwest and interior southeastern states during the period from this weekend through the end of next week
Heat indices of 95 to 115 are likely with the central and southern Plains and Delta hottest stressing livestock and some crops
A westward shift in the heat and dryness is likely in the last days of July heating up most of the far western United States and allowing some cooling and rainfall back into the lower Midwest and southeastern states
Northern and eastern Midwest crop areas will be sufficiently moist to carry on normal crop development during the next two weeks
Some net drying is likely in the Delta portions of Missouri and eastern Kansas
Canada’s Prairies will be wettest in central and western Alberta and northwestern into south-central parts of Saskatchewan in the coming ten days while the northeastern part of the Prairies is drier biased
Some rain will fall in southern Manitoba as well
Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas heat and drying will expedite late wheat harvesting, but stress livestock and some unirrigated summer crops
West Texas and the Texas Panhandle will get a few showers and thunderstorms briefly next week
S. Pacific Northwest will continue warm and dry biased for the next two weeks
Argentina rainfall will be restricted for a while
Southern Brazil will trend wetter from the middle of next week into late month
Safrinha crop harvesting in Brazil should advance well during the next ten days with little to no rain outside of Paraguay and Parana
India rainfall will be abundant and frequent except in parts of Gujarat, central Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu where more limited rainfall is likely
Australia rainfall will continue greatest in coastal areas for the next ten days
Not much change noted around the world at mid-day today.
HIGHLIGHTS IN THIS VIDEO
Very cold in the northern U.S. Plains this morning
High pressure ridge building and movement expected over the next ten days
Oppressive heat and humidity expected in many areas from the lower half of the Midwest into the Delta, Tennessee River Basin central and southern Plains
Livestock and human health issues possible
Limited rainfall outlook in many areas across the U.S. except from the eastern Dakotas into Illinois, Indianan and Kentucky
Net drying in the central and southern Plains, Delta , parts of the Tennessee River Basin and the southwestern Corn And Soybean Belt
World Weather in review no big changes in the outlooks for most crop areas in the world
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JULY 17, 2025
No general theme changes were noted overnight
Slightly less rain was advertised for the eastern Canada Prairies, although scattered showers and thunderstorms are still possible
West Texas is a little wetter for next week than advertised Wednesday
Most of the U.S. Midwest will get rain in the coming week
High pressure ridge building over the U.S. mid-south region next week will induce some excessive heat and humidity stressing livestock and crops with rapid drying conditions over a few days
The high pressure ridge is then expected to shift to the west into the Rocky Mountain region and high Plains by the last days of July
The westward shift into the high pressure ridge will allow rain to continue falling periodically in the Midwest and temperatures will be seasonably warm, but not oppressively hot
The greatest heat in North America is expected in the west during the last week of July 17, 2025
Drought will continue in the northwestern United States
Portions of the U.S. Delta, interior southeastern states and the southern Plains will dry down over the next two weeks
Western and central Alberta, Canada will be wetter than usual during the coming ten days
Week two weather in the U.S. Midwest may be marked by strong to severe thunderstorm clusters moving from northwest to southeast across the region
A tropical cyclone is developing east of the Philippines today and will move toward southern China and possibly northern Vietnam over the coming week after brushing the northeast coast of Luzon Island, Philippines Friday
Not much change in Asia with areas from eastern Ukraine into Kazakhstan experiencing limited rain and warm temperatures
China’s dry region in east-central parts of the nation will get some relief this weekend into next week while other areas see a good mix of rain and sunshine
Western Europe will have waves of rain this weekend into next week that should bring drought relief to parts of France, the U.K. and Germany
Portions of France and the lower Danube River Basin will remain drier than usual and in need of greater rain
Argentina rainfall will be restricted for a while
Southern Brazil will trend wetter periodically over the next two weeks
Safrinha crop harvesting in Brazil should advance well with little to no rain outside of Paraguay and Parana
India rainfall will be abundant and frequent except in parts of Gujarat, central Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu where more limited rainfall is likely
Indonesia and Malaysia rainfall is expected to be restricted during the next week to ten days allowing for greater drying to evolve
Thailand should get some needed rain
HIGHLIGHTS IN THIS AUDIO
Less rain in the U.S. Midwest and warmer temperatures in week two of the outlook
European model allows the heat and dryness to remain over the Midwest for a longer period than the GFS or GEFS
The second week may be a little warm and dry
Saskatchewan rainfall was reduced for next week
some of this reduction was needed rain is still expected in the driest areas of the province Sunday into Tuesday of next week
Drying is still expected in the interior southern Plains, Delta and Tennessee River Basin during the next couple of weeks
South America rainfall was reduced in portions of northeastern Argentina, Paraguay and center west Brazil
China was wetter in the North China Plain and Yellow River Basin for Days 10-14
GFS was much wetter in western Ukraine, southeastern Poland, Romania and southern Belarus in the second week outlook
This was certainly overdone
Dry biased conditions remain advertised for eastern Ukraine into Kazakhstan
European model is still notably wetter for France, Germany and the U.K. than the GFS model with the GFS actually reducing southern France rainfall in the latest model run
The GFS solution is more believable, although probably too dry in a few areas
HIGHLIGHTS IN THIS VIDEO
Discussion of high pressure ridge for North America and the impact on the Midwest
Rain prospects Improve for northeastern Canada Prairies crop areas late this weekend into next week
Monsoon moisture from Mexico will be forced into the U.S. at a faster rate as a result of the high pressure ridge moving to the lower Midwest
Net drying in the interior southern Plains, Delta and Tennessee River Basin areas
France is expecting some weekend rain to provide improvements to drought
Germany, parts of the U.K. will also get some rain and see seasonable temperatures
Lower Danube River Basin will stay dry biased
Heat and dryness are expanding from eastern Ukraine to western Kazakhstan and this may continue for at least 10 days
China's dry region in east-central areas should get some relief
Argentina gets some needed rain for wheat, although more is needed
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JULY 16, 2025
Weather has not changed dramatically enough to seriously change world crop development potentials overnight; however, a little more ridge building over the U.S. Midwest for a little while late this weekend into next week brings a little heat and less rain and that has some of the market trade a little more interested
The high pressure ridge does not stay over the Midwest for more than a few days, although it will be present long enough to induce much warmer temperatures and less rain which will firm the topsoil and induce a little moisture and heat stress to crops that have seen the lightest rainfall and the most limited soil moisture in recent weeks
Most computer forecast models shift the high pressure ridge back to the west toward the end of this month bringing back some “cooler” conditions and inducing a little more shower and thunderstorm activity in key Midwestern crop areas
The pattern looks very normal for summer and subsoil moisture is favorable enough to carry most crops through the period without too much difficulty, but it will be important that rain and cooling return as advertised to maintain crop integrity
The change in U.S. weather will bring total predicted yields for corn and soybeans under a little more scrutiny; though corn is far enough advanced that the impact should be low as long as the high pressure ridge retreats to the west and stays out to the west as advertised
The changing weather pattern over North America opens the door of opportunity for rain to fall across Canada’s Prairies late this weekend and briefly later next week and that could improve crop and field conditions for better canola, corn and soybean development
The change will come a little late for some of the wheat and barley that has already been seriously stressed, but crops that have received some periodic rain will benefit greatly
Drier and warmer weather will resume as the high pressure ridge shifts to the west in late July and early August
Very little weather change of significance was noted in Europe, Asia, India, Australia or South America today relative to that of Tuesday except…..
Australia’s forecast has a little more rain in Queensland and New South Wales than that advertised Tuesday morning
Greater cooling in South America during the second week of the outlook brings cooler air back to northern and eastern Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay and southern Brazil
Some of this cold is overdone and there is not much threat of damaging cold expected for sugarcane, citrus or coffee areas in Brazil
The temperature change does increase the rain potential in parts of southern Brazil briefly during mid- to late-week next week
No blocking ridge of high pressure over North America
waves for rain will continue from Canada's Prairies through the northern Plains into the Midwest during the next ten days
Net drying is expected in the interior southern Plains and from there into the Delta and a part of the Tennessee River Basin
Very little change in France, the Balkan Countries, Russia, Ukraine or China
Australia was a little wetter in the northeast of New South Wales and southeastern Queensland
Argentina gets more rain during mid-week next week, but it is likely overdone
A reduction in Rio Grande do Sul rainfall was noted at mid-day by the GFS model run and that change was needed
HIGHLIGHTS IN THIS VIDEO
Tropical Disturbance moving across Florida today will have potential to become a tropical depression in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico (America)
Some heavy rain will fall along the central and northeast Gulf of Mexico
U.S. Weather will become more active later this week into next week with frequent storms in the northern Plains and Midwest
High pressure building up in the southern U.S. should diminish rain across the interior southern Plains, central Delta and southern part sof the Tennessee River Basin
Ridge Building in late July over Rocky Mountains and high Plains may bring rain to dry areas in northeastern Canada Prairies
Not much relief expected in France, although some rain is expected
Drought in lower Danube River Basin will prevail as well
Eastern Ukraine to Russia's Southern Region will remain dry for winter crop harvest
East-central China dryness to last another week before some relief is possible
Telangana and Andhra Pradesh dryness should abate later this week, but other areas in interior western India will continue to dry out
No changes in South America
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR JULY 15, 2025
Less than usual rainfall continues in portions of Sumatra and peninsular Malaysia raising some concern about long term crop development
Java and the Lesser Sunda Islands are also drying down, but for them that is a little more normal for this time of year
Western and some central Thailand crop areas have been drier than usual in recent weeks, but rain is expected to develop later this week into next week
A tropical depression may develop in the next couple of days in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico (America) resulting in abundant rain and some strong thunderstorms from northwestern Florida to the Louisiana coast late this week into the weekend
Tropical Storm 08W will impact eastern Honshu and Hokkaido, Japan today and Wednesday producing some occasional rain and breezy conditions; the impact on agriculture and personal property should be low
Portions of France may get some needed rain late this week into the weekend, although much more will be needed
Drought and dryness in southeastern Europe will continue without much relief for a while
Eastern Ukraine, Russia’s Southern Region and western Kazakhstan will experience good harvest weather for winter crops
China’s recent drying in east-central areas may continue for at least another week, despite a few random showers
Other crop areas in China are in good shape and expected to remain that way
India’s Telangana and Andhra Pradesh crop areas will get some rain later this week into next week easing recent dryness
Other areas in southern and west-central India will continue drier than usual; including interior western and southern Maharashtra
Argentina will get some rain in wheat areas today and Wednesday and then trend drier again; more rain will be needed in the west
Safrinha crops in Brazil will experience dry and warm biased weather for the next two weeks resulting in good maturation and harvest conditions
S Midwest, Northern Plains, Delta and southeastern states should see a favorable mix of weather over the next ten days
Dry and warm weather will prevail in the U.S. Pacific Northwest
Net drying and warmer biased weather is expected in the southern U.S. Plains and a part of both the central Delta and southern Tennessee River Basin over the next ten days raising the need for rain late this month and in early August
Canada’s Southwestern Prairies benefited from rain Monday and northeastern areas may get some needed rain late this weekend into early next week
Australia weather remains unchanged with greater rain needed in interior crop areas while those near the southern coast are well established
Not much change was noted on the mid-day model runs today
A little more rain was suggested for central France on the GFS model run, but not the ECMWF, although the latter was already wetter than the GFS
HIGHLIGHTS IN THIS VIDEO
More ridge building is likely in the next couple of weeks across the southern Plains, Delta and interior southeastern states suggesting a drier bias for those areas in time
Rain will continue fall abundantly in the heart of the Midwest
Timely rain occurs in Canada's Prairies and the Northern U.S. Plains, although some of the rain may be overdone
No excessive heat is expected in North America over the next two weeks
Canada's Prairies still have pockets of notable dryness that must be relieved
West Texas is drier for the next two weeks than advertised Friday
Northern France, the U.K., Low Countries and northwestern Germany will get rain this weekend and especially next week while southern France and the lower Danube River Basin remain dry biased
Very warm to hot weather occurred from eastern Ukraine into Kazakhstan during the weekend accelerating crop stress in the driest areas
East-central China will dry out for a while
Tropical Activity in the far western Pacific Ocean may send a succession of tropical systems through China, Japan and the Korean peninsula in the next few weeks
Not much change in Australia, Brazil or Argentina
Rain is expected in southern India this weekend into next week
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR MONDAY, JULY 14, 2025
U.S. weather will remain favorable for rain east of the Rocky Mountains, although some net drying is expected in a part of the central and interior southern Plains, portions of the Delta and parts of the Tennessee River Basin
these drier tendencies will evolve slowly, but will eventually become notable
No extreme heat is expected in North America during the next two weeks
Far western U.S. weather will remain dry biased; including the Pacific Northwest
Rain is expected in southwestern Canada's Prairies early this week and other areas may get some rain during the weekend and next week
France and the Lower Danube River Basin will remain too dry this week, although northern France will get some rain late this week and during the weekend
Temperatures in Europe will be closer to normal this week instead of being above normal as suggested last Friday
Mostly good weather will prevail in China, Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Brazil and Argentina
Some rain is expected in Argentina wheat areas during mid-week this week
Southern India will start to receive some rain this weekend and continue into next week; however, Maharashtra and parts of Tamil Nadu will remain dry
Other areas in India will be plenty wet
Australia weather will continue fair, but grater rain is needed in Queensland, northern New South Wales, interior South Australia and eastern parts of Western Australia
CHANGES SINCE FRIDAY
Europe will not be as anomalously warm this week as advertised Friday
ECMWF model suggests France will be dry this workweek and then get some timely rain
GFS model suggests a full week to 8 or 9 days of dry weather will occur before there is much chance for rain
Drying east-central China will last most of this week, but may get some relief this weekend into next week
A part of the interior southern U.S. Plains, central Delta, southern Tennessee River Basin and interior southeastern states are advertised for net drying conditions over the next couple of weeks, despite some scattered showers and thunderstorms and seasonably warm temperatures
The dry down will be a slow process
Tropical Storm Nari formed during the weekend south of Japan and will brush eastern Honshu and eastern Hokkaido during mid-week this week with little damage
Subtropical Depression 07W formed over the East China Sea during the weekend and was moving across western Japan today
The system will dissipate over western Honshu with little more than some moderate to heavy rain and breezy conditions
Central Thailand and northern Sumatra, Indonesia will dry out a little more this workweek and then get some relief
Heavy rain in western Ethiopia may result in some flooding this week
Some heavy rain may also evolve later this week in Central America from Nicaragua into Costa Rica
Rain is still advertised to develop in southern India late this week and especially next week
The northeast half of Canada’s Prairies will be dry over the coming week while the southwest gets rain and southwestern Alberta will be wettest
Rain may develop in the drier areas of the northeast next week, though confidence is low
NOT MANY CHANGES SUGGESTED AT MID-DAY TODAY
Rain was reduced in northern Canada's Prairies - a change that was needed
Rain was increased in U.S. hard red winter wheat production areas
Most other areas get rain at one time or another through the next ten days
World Weather, Inc. believes a favorable weather pattern will prevail through the end of this month, despite some warming and slightly less rain after day ten of the outlook
No big blocking weather pattern is expected in North America
Very little change worthy of noting was suggested in Europe with France and the lower Danube River Basin still expected to deal with very warm and dry biased conditions
A little more rain was suggested in the central Russian New Lands at mid-day today
No serious changes were noted in China, India, Australia or South America
HIGHLIGHTS IN THIS VIDEO
Localized areas of heavy U.S. rainfall overnight
7-Day Rainfall for the U.S.
heavy amounts in northeastern Nebraska, Iowa and northern Illinois
Weather Outlook for North America
Cold surges today into Saturday and again during early to mid-week next week
Doubts about Canada Prairies Rainfall
Abundant to Excessive rain will fall in key Midwest crop areas
West Texas rainfall
Europe Weather
Still Dry in France and the lower Danube River Basin next Ten Days to 2 weeks
Warm temperatures bias, but no excessive heat
Favorably moist central and northeast
Drier outlook for parts of the Russia New Lands next ten days
Wet in western Russia
A mostly good mix of weather from eastern Ukraine into Kazakhstan
Unusually cool in parts of north-central and interior western Russia crop areas
China weather mostly good, but dryness to return in east-central crop areas
India's outlook is a little wetter in the south, but ECMWF model too wet
No changes in Australia
Argentina rainfall should be good for winter wheat next week
Brazil harvest weather in Safrinha crop areas will remain good
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR FRIDAY, JULY 11, 2025
No blocking ridge of high pressure is expected over North America for the next ten days
Unusually cold weather is expected in the central United States and south-central Canada during the coming week to ten days
Portions of interior western and northern Russia may also be cooler than usual during the next ten days
Rain is still predicted in most U.S. crop areas during the coming ten days with some of it heavy at times especially early to mid-week next week as unusually colder air moves southward from Canada into a warm and humid environment in the central and eastern states
France and the lower Danube River Basin will continue to experience poor rainfall for the next ten days and temperatures will be warmer than usual at times, although not as oppressively hot as that of earlier this month
Western and northern Russia will see wave of rain maintaining moist conditions
Eastern Ukraine, Russia's Southern Region and western Kazakhstan will see good harvest weather for a while, but some timely rain may come along later next week and into the latter part of this month periodically to support summer crops
China weather should be well mixed, although a small part of east-central China may be drier than usual
No changes in Australia, Brazil or Argentina weather
Argentina's western wheat and barley areas will get some rain today and more generalized rain is likely in much of the wheat region next week
Southern India may finally get "some" needed rain later this month, but the central north and east will be wettest in this coming week
HIGHLIGHTS IN THIS VIDEO
Details of the next two weeks of weather in North America
Partial relief for Canada's Prairies
Hot in the western United States
Good rain in key U.S. crop areas east of the Rocky Mountains through day ten
West Texas will trend wetter with storms this weekend and again mid- to late-week next week
Days 10-15 will be warmer and rainfall should be reduced
net drying will occur in many areas; although, subsoil moisture will be fine for normal crop development
Colder than usual weather Friday into Saturday in north-central U.S. and Canada
More notable cold bias next week during mid-week as last surge of cold arrives
Western Europe dryness situation up close
Corrected vegetative map labeling should be accompanying this video link
WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR THURSDAY, JULY 10, 2025
Very little change was noted around the world overnight
Market influences from the weather are unlikely to be great enough to seriously change market mentality
U.S. weather will include alternating periods of rain and sunshine along with seasonable temperatures with some cooler biased conditions in the north-central states in this first week of the outlook
Second week U.S. weather may include a little less intensity and frequency in rainfall along with slightly warmer-biased temperatures
Showers in Canada will be welcome in the Prairies, although resulting rainfall will continue much less than that desired to support long term crop improvements
France and the lower Danube River Basin will be driest in Europe for the next ten days
Warming is likely to return in Europe this weekend and next week, but the extreme heat of earlier this month will not likely return
Western and northern Russia, Belarus, the Baltic States, western Ukraine and northeastern Europe will remain wetter biased for the next five days with northeastern Europe drying after that while rain continues farther to the east for about ten days
East-central China is drying down once again, but crop moisture will be fine for a little while
No changes in Australia, Argentina, Brazil or South Africa were noted
Argentina's greatest rain for winter wheat areas in the west will be next week, although some showers are expected today and Friday