DiscoverMarkets 360H2 consumer outlook: Savings-slasher, Christmas-crasher
H2 consumer outlook: Savings-slasher, Christmas-crasher

H2 consumer outlook: Savings-slasher, Christmas-crasher

Update: 2023-08-04
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Carl Riccadonna, Chief Economist, US


Andrew Schneider, Senior Economist, US 


Yelena Shulyatyeva, Senior Economist, US


Andrew Husby, Senior Economist, US 







BNP Paribas | Global Markets (Recorded 03 August 2023) 






  • We expect household excess savings – which has bolstered consumer spending over the last eighteen months – be depleted by the end of this year.

  • Watch for more price elastic consumer spending as households become increasingly dependent on paycheck income.







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H2 consumer outlook: Savings-slasher, Christmas-crasher

H2 consumer outlook: Savings-slasher, Christmas-crasher

BNP Paribas Global Markets