Listeners, welcome to today’s episode of "India Tariff News and Tracker." As of July 28, 2025, the tariff news cycle has been dominated by ongoing tensions and negotiations between the United States, the Trump administration, and India.

According to Bloomberg, India’s finance ministry is warning that ongoing uncertainty around U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff policies could weigh heavily on India’s trade performance in the coming quarters. The ministry’s economic report released today points out that a global slowdown, especially from the U.S., and continuing uncertainty on the U.S. tariff front are key risks for India’s export sector.

A critical deadline looms over these negotiations: the so-called U.S. “Liberation Day” tariff policy set to take effect August 1. Deccan Herald details that if a trade deal isn’t reached by then, a new tariff rate of up to 26% will apply to Indian exports to the U.S. The sectors at the highest risk include textiles, apparel, and seafood products. Indian seafood exports to the U.S., valued at $2.5 billion in 2024, would be hit especially hard. By comparison, competing countries like Ecuador and Chile would face only the U.S. blanket 10% base tariff rate.

Negotiations remain tense. According to Time magazine, the U.S. has pushed for significant Indian concessions on agricultural and dairy market access. However, Indian policymakers, bolstered by powerful farmer lobbies, have resisted opening up domestic markets. In response to persistent high U.S. tariffs on Indian steel, aluminum, and auto-parts, India has even threatened WTO-compliant retaliatory tariffs against the United States.

Despite the friction, there’s cautious optimism. Time reports that negotiators are close to finalizing an interim mini-agreement expected next month. This deal would reduce U.S. tariffs on Indian textiles and apparel from the current 26% down to 10%, in return for India lowering tariffs on U.S.-grown nuts and some fruits, and potentially granting modest tariff relief in the automotive sector. The most contentious issues—food grains and major dairy products—are likely to be deferred for now.

Meanwhile, Foreign Policy notes that the Trump administration has further complicated matters by tying tariff threats to India’s energy imports from Russia, raising the possibility of 100% secondary tariffs unless Russia agrees to a cease-fire in Ukraine. The mounting uncertainty is driving India to diversify trade partners and reconsider its economic alignment.

Listeners, as the August 1 tariff deadline approaches, all eyes will be on Washington and New Delhi. India’s approach remains one of cautious negotiation, balancing export ambitions with domestic political realities.

Thank you for tuning in to "India Tariff News and Tracker." Please remember to subscribe for weekly updates on this fast-moving story.

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